Sat, Dec 12, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
TBL winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Williams–Johansson–Kuznetsov | Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom | Chimera–Beagle–Galiev | Laich–Wilson–Burakovsky | Ovechkin–Oshie–Kuznetsov | Niskanen–Alzner | Carlson–Schmidt | Chorney–Orlov | Niskanen–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Callahan–Brown | 3:210.22–0.09 | 6:040.39–0.14 | 1:520.12–0.06 | 0:390.16–0.00 | 3:590.11–0.09 | 7:490.62–0.22 | 1:350.16–0.12 | ||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Kucherov | 1:270.03–0.21 | 2:410.06–0.17 | 0:490.07–0.00 | 3:100.15–0.12 | 1:020.03–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov | 2:070.08–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 1:550.21–0.00 | 2:360.27–0.00 | 2:410.13–0.07 | ||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov | 1:480.17–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:270.17–0.03 | |||||
| Boyle–Namestnikov–Marchessault | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.07–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.03 | 1:550.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||
| Killorn–Namestnikov–Marchessault | 1:050.10–0.00 | 0:520.01–0.09 | 1:130.11–0.09 | 1:030.03–0.00 | |||||
| Filppula–Boyle–Callahan | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 1:080.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Boyle–Killorn–Marchessault | 0:400.12–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:400.12–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Blunden–Namestnikov–Marchessault | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Boyle–Blunden–Stamkos | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:490.06–0.00 | 1:120.06–0.02 | ||||||
| Boyle–Blunden–Brown | |||||||||
| Boyle–Blunden–Killorn | 1:030.02–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 3:100.10–0.21 | 7:570.56–0.31 | 1:220.21–0.00 | 6:510.44–0.20 | 4:320.47–0.16 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| Coburn–Sustr | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.03 | 1:080.06–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 2:120.11–0.00 | |||
| Garrison–Sustr | 2:040.15–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:360.10–0.00 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.12 | |||
| Carle–Garrison | 1:010.09–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:450.07–0.02 | 1:330.18–0.00 | 1:170.03–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.02 | |||
| Hedman–Nesterov | 2:130.13–0.13 | 1:290.02–0.00 | 2:060.13–0.13 | ||||||
| Coburn–Carle | 0:330.09–0.00 | 2:050.16–0.03 | 1:070.09–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 0:420.16–0.00 | ||||
| Garrison–Hedman | 1:040.02–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.05 | ||||||
| Coburn–Hedman | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.07 | |||||
| Garrison–Nesterov | 0:580.14–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||
| Coburn–Nesterov | 0:440.10–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 0:300.06–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | |||||
| Nesterov–Sustr | 0:440.00–0.20 | ||||||||
| Carle–Hedman | 0:430.14–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 0:490.14–0.04 | ||||||
| Stralman–Garrison | 0:570.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Stralman–Nesterov | 0:540.07–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 26:25 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 10 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 30 | 25:18 | 0:51 | 2:34 | 12 | 6 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 25 | 24:43 | 0:59 | 2:09 | 10 | 6 |
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 30 | 24:28 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 4 | 7 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 28 | 24:05 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 2 | 7 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 31 | 23:40 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 5 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 26 | 21:54 | 0:51 | 2:20 | 11 | 4 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 26 | 21:38 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 24 | 21:21 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Nate SchmidtWSH | 28 | 21:20 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 3 | 7 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 24 | 19:37 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 6 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 27 | 19:12 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 5 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 23 | 18:39 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 26 | 18:31 | 0:43 | 1:56 | 8 | 1 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 25 | 18:20 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 5 | 6 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 8 | 1 |
 Justin WilliamsWSH | 26 | 17:43 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 6 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 17:03 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 10 | 3 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultTBL | 18 | 15:05 | 0:50 | 2:50 | 7 | 1 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 20 | 14:41 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 21 | 14:07 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 2 | 13 |
 Jason ChimeraWSH | 19 | 14:03 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 2 | 7 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 21 | 13:43 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 5 | 4 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 19 | 13:23 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 15 | 12:26 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 9 | 1 |
 Taylor ChorneyWSH | 16 | 11:33 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Stanislav GalievWSH | 15 | 11:22 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 2 | 7 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 16 | 10:58 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 17 | 9:13 | 0:33 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 14 | 8:50 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 1 | 5 |
 Brooks LaichWSH | 13 | 8:40 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 14 | 7:48 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Mike BlundenTBL | 9 | 6:48 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 2 | 0 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 5 | 3:34 | 0:43 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 |