Tue, Dec 15, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
65%
8%
20%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:34 | 0.04 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.08 | 74.6% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.28 | 48.0% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.54 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.03 | 65.0% | +61.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:31 | 0.09 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.23 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.15 | 61.3% | +67.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.15 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.20 | 77.9% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.10 | 62.5% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.03 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.14 | 61.9% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:56 | 0.09 | 41.8% | +30.4 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.46 | −0.5 | 62:01 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.16 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.03 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.06 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.08 | 31.7% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.10 | 33.9% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.02 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.57 | 59.9% | +38.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17:33 | 0.93 | 65.0% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.39 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.47 | 66.5% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.10 | 65.2% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.04 | 32.1% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.10 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:03 | 0.10 | 33.8% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.01 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:04 | 0.12 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.15 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:10 | 0.04 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.20 | −2.8 | 62:01 |