Fri, Dec 18, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
11%
27%
WSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.01 | 53.3% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.04 | 54.0% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.03 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.04 | 75.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.35 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.33 | 59.9% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:33 | 0.45 | 65.4% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.08 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.12 | 54.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.16 | 69.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.04 | 62.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.10 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.12 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.96 | −2.0 | 59:26 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:17 | 0.09 | 24.4% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.08 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.04 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 20:35 | 0.82 | 35.5% | +50.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.12 | 35.5% | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 9 | 19:08 | 0.91 | 40.5% | +67.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.06 | 37.3% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.09 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 45.5% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.08 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.13 | 28.1% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:28 | 0.18 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.39 | +0.4 | 30:56 | |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.57 | −1.4 | 28:57 |