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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 21, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.

CAR winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Oshie–BackstromWilliams–Johansson–KuznetsovChimera–Beagle–WilsonLaich–Latta–BurakovskyOvechkin–Backstrom–JohanssonOvechkin–Backstrom–WilsonNiskanen–AlznerCarlson–SchmidtChorney–OrlovAlzner–CarlsonChorney–SchmidtCarlson–Orlov
Staal–Versteeg–Lindholm1:330.00–0.027:050.70–0.001:490.06–0.241:210.08–0.008:490.41–0.242:510.44–0.002:320.31–0.17
Staal–Nestrasil–Nordstrom7:150.21–0.081:370.43–0.021:020.00–0.150:450.02–0.003:350.41–0.045:080.18–0.212:000.02–0.00
Skinner–Rask–Di Giuseppe1:050.00–0.000:550.00–0.003:540.11–0.022:100.02–0.022:150.11–0.053:180.16–0.094:100.09–0.020:340.00–0.00
McClement–Nash–Malone0:470.00–0.002:090.05–0.040:440.24–0.002:090.24–0.000:560.00–0.040:330.00–0.00
McClement–Versteeg–Nordstrom1:060.01–0.040:490.00–0.04
Staal–Nestrasil–Skinner0:350.00–0.00
Hainsey–Faulk6:350.21–0.032:190.14–0.021:060.01–0.100:330.24–0.002:090.15–0.005:450.43–0.132:280.02–0.00
Slavin–Hanifin1:000.00–0.051:070.39–0.045:430.20–0.040:580.00–0.024:210.51–0.022:250.10–0.052:030.00–0.060:510.00–0.00
Liles–Pesce1:360.00–0.054:190.44–0.000:420.00–0.000:520.08–0.004:200.20–0.021:570.00–0.052:180.39–0.00
Hainsey–Slavin1:000.00–0.001:310.15–0.001:290.02–0.351:060.01–0.041:020.11–0.002:130.21–0.091:520.00–0.350:490.00–0.040:330.00–0.11
Liles–Faulk1:140.00–0.021:210.00–0.040:430.02–0.002:490.02–0.040:590.08–0.001:290.06–0.02
Pesce–Hanifin0:450.00–0.001:450.00–0.290:450.00–0.241:190.00–0.04
Liles–Hanifin0:470.02–0.15
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FLindholm FVersteeg FNordstrom FStaal FNestrasil FDi Giuseppe FRask FSkinner FMcClement FNash FMalone FHanifin DPesce DLiles DFaulk DHainsey DSlavin DWard GChimera FWilson FBeagle FOvechkin FBackstrom FWilliams FJohansson FKuznetsov FBurakovsky FLatta FLaich FOshie FNiskanen DAlzner DCarlson DSchmidt DChorney DOrlov DGrubauer G
CARWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR2725:330:572:3061
John CarlsonWSH2624:570:581:5214
Ron HainseyCAR2723:000:511:3152
Matt NiskanenWSH2322:100:581:4404
Eric StaalCAR2121:071:002:0143
Alex OvechkinWSH1921:041:072:2822
Karl AlznerWSH2620:450:481:4415
Elias LindholmCAR2120:130:581:3153
Nicklas BackstromWSH2119:330:561:4225
Noah HanifinCAR2219:030:521:5641
Nate SchmidtWSH2118:570:541:5513
John-Michael LilesCAR2518:470:451:3603
Jaccob SlavinCAR1918:290:581:4030
Marcus JohanssonWSH1818:161:011:3930
T.J. OshieWSH2018:060:541:2813
Kris VersteegCAR1817:370:591:2923
Tom WilsonWSH1817:260:581:4403
Victor RaskCAR1917:230:551:5650
Jordan StaalCAR2417:200:431:2520
Jeff SkinnerCAR2017:020:512:0630
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1616:221:011:3920
Justin WilliamsWSH1616:201:011:4310
Joakim NordstromCAR2216:050:441:2530
Andrej NestrasilCAR2015:540:481:3111
Jay BeagleWSH2015:270:461:1904
Brett PesceCAR2315:000:391:3023
Taylor ChorneyWSH1814:440:491:3410
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR1714:270:511:3330
Jason ChimeraWSH2014:150:431:0312
Dmitry OrlovWSH1714:070:501:3410
Brooks LaichWSH138:400:401:0300
Jay McClementCAR128:270:421:4004
Brad MaloneCAR107:460:471:1904
Andre BurakovskyWSH97:030:471:1500
Michael LattaWSH96:180:421:1700
Riley NashCAR74:480:411:0102