Tue, Dec 29, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New York Islanders 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
68%
8%
17%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.07 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.01 | 58.1% | +1.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.20 | 46.4% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.05 | 24.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 47.8% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.25 | 66.7% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.08 | 52.8% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.10 | 8.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.16 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.04 | 49.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.08 | 28.0% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.04 | 57.8% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.03 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 10.1% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.04 | 29.0% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.30 | 48.5% | +5.9 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.95 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.05 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.04 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.07 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.05 | 74.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.01 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.02 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.09 | 74.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.22 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.41 | 73.6% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.02 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.12 | 64.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 13:36 | 0.47 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.14 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 11:25 | 0.74 | 88.9% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:12 | 0.43 | 93.5% | +19.4 |
| – | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.65 | +0.6 | 20:00 | |
| L | 15 | 9 | 6 | .600 | 0.87 | −5.1 | 39:45 |