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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 29, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Tavares–LeeNielsen–Okposo–KuleminGrabovski–Nelson–StromeClutterbuck–Martin–CizikasBoychuk–de HaanHamonic–LeddyZidlicky–HickeyHickey–HamonicBoychuk–HamonicZidlicky–LeddyZidlicky–de Haan
Komarov–Grabner–Kadri8:120.08–0.292:180.00–0.114:310.06–0.051:530.02–0.07
Parenteau–van Riemsdyk–Bozak0:400.00–0.044:170.20–0.101:450.14–0.041:410.05–0.063:110.05–0.071:500.12–0.101:390.05–0.040:570.01–0.020:490.02–0.00
Lupul–Winnik–Holland0:410.06–0.000:590.03–0.042:310.07–0.070:350.03–0.011:410.02–0.003:050.17–0.04
Boyes–Matthias–Froese0:320.12–0.003:150.24–0.040:540.01–0.002:360.09–0.060:550.19–0.00
Lupul–Winnik–Froese0:380.00–0.001:360.00–0.002:220.08–0.000:540.01–0.30
Boyes–Matthias–Holland0:450.02–0.001:160.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:590.36–0.000:450.02–0.00
Komarov–Matthias–Kadri0:440.00–0.00
Hunwick–Rielly10:020.20–0.390:500.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:360.03–0.002:480.10–0.175:220.08–0.052:400.08–0.111:090.00–0.021:060.02–0.001:000.01–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:480.06–0.005:510.24–0.141:190.26–0.023:210.17–0.065:120.13–0.073:570.24–0.142:230.19–0.000:480.27–0.00
Polak–Marincin1:210.00–0.144:170.69–0.103:250.12–0.044:240.03–0.004:020.50–0.061:200.01–0.380:550.26–0.14
Polak–Hunwick0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGrabner FKadri FKomarov Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FParenteau FHolland FLupul FWinnik FMatthias FBoyes FFroese FHunwick DRielly DPhaneuf DGardiner DPolak DMarincin DBernier GReimer GBailey FLee FTavares FNielsen FKulemin FOkposo FGrabovski FStrome FNelson FClutterbuck FMartin FCizikas FLeddy DHamonic Dde Haan DBoychuk DZidlicky DHickey DGreiss G
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Travis HamonicNYI2624:110:561:4205
Johnny BoychukNYI2522:300:541:5001
Matt HunwickTOR2621:500:501:3515
Dion PhaneufTOR2720:230:451:1972
Calvin de HaanNYI2420:190:511:4700
Morgan RiellyTOR2420:040:501:3513
John TavaresNYI2220:020:551:4250
Nick LeddyNYI2319:510:521:4233
Roman PolakTOR2618:550:441:1812
Josh BaileyNYI2218:480:511:4241
Jake GardinerTOR2318:420:492:0351
Leo KomarovTOR2718:280:411:1626
Nazem KadriTOR2217:230:471:3533
Michael GrabnerTOR2417:040:431:5117
Anders LeeNYI2116:460:481:4240
Frans NielsenNYI2616:270:381:1114
Tyler BozakTOR2516:250:391:2642
James van RiemsdykTOR2315:400:411:3141
Thomas HickeyNYI2015:150:461:4334
Brock NelsonNYI2315:130:401:1343
Byron FroeseTOR2015:010:451:1522
PA ParenteauTOR2214:410:401:3151
Kyle OkposoNYI2114:190:411:1323
Nikolay KuleminNYI2214:190:391:1014
Martin MarincinTOR2314:080:371:1410
Peter HollandTOR2113:550:401:1460
Ryan StromeNYI2013:410:411:2323
Joffrey LupulTOR2113:360:391:1040
Casey CizikasNYI2213:350:371:0904
Daniel WinnikTOR2113:230:381:0730
Marek ZidlickyNYI1712:450:451:4642
Mikhail GrabovskiNYI2112:060:350:5723
Shawn MatthiasTOR1511:250:461:1730
Brad BoyesTOR1711:120:401:1550
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2011:080:330:5903
Matt MartinNYI1510:450:431:1502