Sat, Jan 2, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
45%
10%
11%
34%
TBL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:21 | 0.03 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:08 | 0.14 | 45.2% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.43 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.12 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 0.32 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.03 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.22 | 69.5% | +60.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.34 | 92.8% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.03 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.03 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.06 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.12 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.22 | +0.2 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:06 | 0.12 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:09 | 0.03 | 70.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:43 | 0.04 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.03 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.08 | 39.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.17 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.33 | 46.0% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:35 | 0.32 | 45.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.15 | 48.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.14 | 35.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.01 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.21 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.16 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.04 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.02 | 95.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.12 | 94.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.23 | 92.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 1.91 | −0.1 | 65:00 |