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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 21, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 0 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Nestrasil–NordstromMcClement–Gerbe–NashStaal–Versteeg–Di GiuseppeSkinner–Rask–LindholmStaal–Versteeg–LindholmSkinner–Rask–Di GiuseppeSlavin–HanifinHainsey–FaulkLiles–PesceHainsey–SlavinFaulk–HanifinLiles–FaulkFaulk–Slavin
Komarov–Grabner–Kadri5:180.13–0.540:490.04–0.002:520.51–0.020:570.05–0.022:450.29–0.125:480.17–0.540:410.18–0.000:490.00–0.08
Parenteau–Matthias–Bozak5:270.06–0.490:360.06–0.002:330.08–0.130:530.00–0.005:120.12–0.413:130.02–0.170:580.00–0.040:450.00–0.00
Winnik–Clune–Froese3:090.05–0.080:500.08–0.011:310.19–0.001:030.05–0.022:210.08–0.002:510.19–0.06
Boyes–Lupul–Holland0:480.07–0.191:090.33–0.001:190.00–0.001:130.00–0.074:180.09–0.241:570.31–0.02
Lupul–Kadri–Holland1:030.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Hunwick–Rielly1:190.03–0.000:450.00–0.035:390.17–0.610:480.05–0.034:040.35–0.022:100.08–0.024:290.18–0.175:380.17–0.581:350.18–0.000:360.00–0.08
Phaneuf–Gardiner4:460.03–0.492:480.00–0.060:420.05–0.001:120.03–0.134:450.09–0.414:160.02–0.171:350.00–0.060:590.00–0.04
Polak–Marincin1:370.07–0.251:590.33–0.023:110.04–0.052:100.03–0.075:350.09–0.262:220.35–0.022:000.03–0.00
Phaneuf–Rielly0:570.03–0.061:100.03–0.00
Polak–Hunwick1:030.06–0.08
Polak–Rielly0:360.16–0.000:370.16–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGrabner FKadri FKomarov FParenteau FMatthias FBozak FLupul FHolland FBoyes FClune FWinnik FFroese FHunwick DRielly DPhaneuf DGardiner DPolak DMarincin DReimer GStaal FLindholm FVersteeg FNordstrom FStaal FNestrasil FDi Giuseppe FRask FSkinner FMcClement FNash FGerbe FLiles DPesce DFaulk DHainsey DHanifin DSlavin DLack G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR2625:280:591:3943
Matt HunwickTOR2825:050:541:4108
Morgan RiellyTOR2824:530:531:5212
Jaccob SlavinCAR2222:491:021:5252
Noah HanifinCAR2121:351:022:0352
Ron HainseyCAR2720:540:461:2743
Leo KomarovTOR2620:450:481:3746
Eric StaalCAR2420:320:511:3292
Roman PolakTOR2420:270:511:4634
Dion PhaneufTOR2719:550:441:1640
Michael GrabnerTOR2419:460:491:4427
Tyler BozakTOR2619:180:451:2832
Nazem KadriTOR2318:570:491:3444
Elias LindholmCAR2218:510:511:3162
John-Michael LilesCAR2518:220:441:1204
PA ParenteauTOR2517:550:431:2031
Jordan StaalCAR2817:260:371:1315
Jake GardinerTOR2416:170:411:1350
Victor RaskCAR1916:080:511:2952
Brett PesceCAR2315:540:411:1004
Andrej NestrasilCAR2115:210:441:1412
Shawn MatthiasTOR2315:040:391:2031
Jeff SkinnerCAR2014:460:441:2641
Kris VersteegCAR1814:310:481:3241
Daniel WinnikTOR1713:420:481:3721
Martin MarincinTOR1813:190:441:3311
Peter HollandTOR1812:430:421:2730
Byron FroeseTOR1612:320:471:0615
Joakim NordstromCAR2212:090:331:0105
Nathan GerbeCAR1612:050:451:2542
Jay McClementCAR1712:040:431:3232
Riley NashCAR1511:570:481:3243
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR1811:500:391:0532
Joffrey LupulTOR1811:090:370:5430
Brad BoyesTOR129:220:471:4310
Rich CluneTOR117:330:411:1001