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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 22, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 94% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zetterberg–Abdelkader–LarkinDatsyuk–Helm–NyquistTatar–Sheahan–JurcoAndersson–Pulkkinen–GlendeningDatsyuk–Helm–GlendeningHelm–Jurco–GlendeningQuincey–DeKeyserEricsson–MarchenkoGreen–SmithQuincey–MarchenkoQuincey–Smith
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson9:500.45–0.490:480.00–0.030:540.02–0.032:370.35–0.023:560.08–0.184:580.08–0.35
O'Reilly–McGinn–Eichel0:590.00–0.001:170.00–0.035:020.10–0.171:310.00–0.064:010.04–0.142:490.00–0.022:090.03–0.09
Moulson–O'Reilly–Kane5:350.32–0.162:170.03–0.450:400.10–0.000:420.00–0.005:170.20–0.253:390.17–0.36
Legwand–Varone–Schaller1:220.00–0.063:010.14–0.891:140.00–0.012:590.14–0.88
O'Reilly–Kane–Eichel0:430.00–0.210:460.00–0.021:250.00–0.002:310.00–0.100:350.00–0.14
Bogosian–Ristolainen10:010.35–0.483:320.00–0.193:460.00–0.347:330.28–0.295:500.11–0.375:400.11–0.360:430.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe1:470.09–0.002:380.14–0.063:090.08–0.313:080.12–0.891:250.00–0.005:210.22–0.173:270.07–0.153:020.14–0.900:490.00–0.00
Weber–Pysyk1:110.00–0.013:170.18–0.032:160.06–0.032:130.14–0.063:220.14–0.023:410.12–0.083:390.14–0.16
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FO'Reilly FKane FMoulson FEichel FO'Reilly FMcGinn FLegwand FSchaller FVarone FBogosian DRistolainen DMcCabe DFranson DPysyk DWeber DLehner GAbdelkader FZetterberg FLarkin FDatsyuk FNyquist FHelm FSheahan FTatar FJurco FAndersson FGlendening FPulkkinen FQuincey DDeKeyser DSmith DGreen DMarchenko DEricsson DMrazek G
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianBUF2728:151:032:5242
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2728:151:032:5253
Danny DeKeyserDET3523:050:401:02710
Evander KaneBUF2521:460:521:4753
Justin AbdelkaderDET2720:370:461:2123
Henrik ZetterbergDET2520:300:491:2123
Kyle QuinceyDET3220:250:381:0658
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2720:210:451:4748
Dylan LarkinDET2418:370:472:0313
Jake McCabeBUF2118:350:531:2915
Pavel DatsyukDET2318:270:481:2164
Alexey MarchenkoDET2818:270:401:1923
Brian GiontaBUF2518:160:441:1832
Mike GreenDET2217:590:491:3530
Jonathan EricssonDET2717:580:401:0724
Darren HelmDET2117:080:491:2663
Jack EichelBUF2016:500:511:1762
Riley SheahanDET2216:370:451:2534
Jamie McGinnBUF2016:230:491:2153
Cody FransonBUF2116:210:471:2925
Mike WeberBUF2215:380:431:0526
Marcus FolignoBUF2114:470:421:1432
Johan LarssonBUF2114:450:421:1632
Tomas TatarDET1814:310:481:1333
Gustav NyquistDET1814:280:481:2144
Brendan SmithDET1914:200:451:1030
Cal O'ReillyBUF1913:460:431:1943
Luke GlendeningDET2013:370:411:0334
Tomas JurcoDET1813:260:451:1313
Matt MoulsonBUF1711:580:421:4722
Mark PysykBUF1711:520:421:3723
Teemu PulkkinenDET1510:210:410:5952
David LegwandBUF1510:050:401:1505
Tim SchallerBUF138:510:411:0602
Joakim AnderssonDET127:270:370:5931
Phil VaroneBUF106:340:391:0612