Thu, Mar 3, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 86% of the time.
81%
9%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 29:17 | 0.06 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:08 | 0.06 | 9.5% | +26.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.19 | 21.2% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.26 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.20 | 69.6% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.13 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.13 | 70.4% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.21 | 73.2% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.18 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.04 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.01 | 61.2% | +52.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 12:19 | 0.17 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.07 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:16 | 0.02 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:56 | 0.00 | 90.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.71 | −2.3 | 59:14 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:53 | 0.09 | 62.6% | +52.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 24:25 | 0.15 | 45.1% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 23:23 | 0.80 | 74.4% | +11.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 23:02 | 0.61 | 70.0% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:54 | 1.16 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.01 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.02 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.16 | 66.0% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.26 | 49.2% | +58.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.41 | 50.1% | +84.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.11 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.04 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:47 | 0.04 | 46.8% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:27 | 0.16 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 1.76 | −1.2 | 59:52 |