Thu, Mar 3, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 86% of the time.
81%
9%
BUF winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Frolik–Gaudreau–Bennett | Colborne–Ferland–Monahan | Backlund–Bouma–Hathaway | Stajan–Bollig–Jooris | Gaudreau–Monahan–Hathaway | Frolik–Ferland–Bennett | Backlund–Colborne–Bouma | Giordano–Brodie | Jokipakka–Nakladal | Engelland–Hamilton | Brodie–Hamilton | Jokipakka–Hamilton | Giordano–Hamilton | Brodie–Nakladal | Engelland–Jokipakka | Engelland–Nakladal | Engelland–Giordano | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | 1:200.01–0.05 | 3:220.36–0.00 | 1:150.04–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.07 | 1:200.12–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 3:590.36–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:180.12–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.07 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 3:090.13–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:070.16–0.14 | 0:570.01–0.04 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:470.17–0.00 | 2:370.05–0.02 | 1:190.00–0.26 | 1:430.16–0.02 | 0:330.13–0.00 | |||||||
| O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:040.09–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.09 | 0:540.00–0.01 | 1:040.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci | 1:590.01–0.03 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 0:590.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Catenacci–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson | 0:530.11–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 1:340.02–0.05 | 4:360.48–0.00 | 1:360.02–0.00 | 2:400.00–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.12 | 0:530.00–0.06 | 4:300.33–0.00 | 1:300.04–0.01 | 1:440.00–0.08 | 1:160.00–0.12 | 1:280.01–0.09 | 1:210.15–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 4:260.14–0.31 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.14 | 2:330.22–0.02 | 1:390.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.09 | 1:580.05–0.00 | 3:110.17–0.09 | 2:090.07–0.02 | 1:330.06–0.43 | 1:580.16–0.02 | 0:520.01–0.00 | |||||
| Colaiacovo–Pysyk | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.20 | 1:130.01–0.03 | 0:380.11–0.00 | 1:120.01–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.13 | 0:480.00–0.03 | 1:440.00–0.08 | 0:320.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Gorges–McCabe | 1:370.11–0.01 | 0:330.11–0.03 | 1:120.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 TJ BrodieCGY | 31 | 29:17 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 3 | 7 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 28 | 25:53 | 0:55 | 2:57 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 29 | 25:08 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 4 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 24:25 | 0:52 | 4:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 22 | 23:23 | 1:04 | 2:09 | 7 | 0 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 20 | 23:02 | 1:09 | 2:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 22:54 | 1:12 | 2:22 | 6 | 0 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 27 | 20:43 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 29 | 20:06 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 6 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 19:11 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 3 | 5 |
 Deryk EngellandCGY | 22 | 18:59 | 0:52 | 2:18 | 0 | 3 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 24 | 18:54 | 0:47 | 2:19 | 6 | 0 |
 Dougie HamiltonCGY | 25 | 18:02 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael FrolikCGY | 24 | 17:42 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 16:42 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 1 | 0 |
 Jyrki JokipakkaCGY | 21 | 16:40 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 1 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 21 | 15:46 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 25 | 15:41 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 6 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 15:34 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 24 | 15:16 | 0:38 | 1:29 | 0 | 4 |
 Joe ColborneCGY | 20 | 14:53 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 4 | 0 |
 Lance BoumaCGY | 21 | 14:10 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam BennettCGY | 19 | 13:52 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Cal O'ReillyBUF | 19 | 13:51 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 3 | 0 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 21 | 13:30 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Micheal FerlandCGY | 21 | 12:51 | 0:37 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Garnet HathawayCGY | 23 | 12:44 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Jakub NakladalCGY | 19 | 12:19 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh JoorisCGY | 18 | 9:53 | 0:33 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 15 | 9:47 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 13 | 9:23 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 David LegwandBUF | 13 | 8:27 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 0 | 4 |
 Daniel CatenacciBUF | 12 | 8:14 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoBUF | 16 | 8:14 | 0:31 | 0:56 | 0 | 2 |
 Brandon BolligCGY | 12 | 7:16 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Matt StajanCGY | 14 | 6:56 | 0:30 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |