Thu, Mar 3, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 69% of the time.
20%
11%
12%
57%
TOR winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 26:16 | 0.00 | 53.5% | +34.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.11 | 58.2% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.29 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.06 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.05 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.11 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.07 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.02 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.16 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.55 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.34 | 47.7% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.02 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.02 | 50.3% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.14 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.03 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.02 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 1.14 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:35 | 0.03 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:25 | 0.06 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.02 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 71.2% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.05 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.21 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.11 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.16 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.08 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.02 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.12 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.08 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.03 | 74.9% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.01 | 67.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.09 | 78.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.98 | 0.0 | 57:51 |