Thu, Mar 3, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
10%
30%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.15 | 64.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.12 | 74.6% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.05 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.05 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.01 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.24 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.20 | 54.5% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.60 | 37.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.15 | 40.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.01 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.01 | 62.2% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.34 | 40.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.06 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.15 | 65.5% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.04 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.06 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.17 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 3.02 | +2.0 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 31:32 | 0.23 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 24:51 | 0.03 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.07 | 61.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.22 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.10 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.04 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.53 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.14 | 53.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:28 | 0.49 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.78 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.03 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.06 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.15 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.10 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.06 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.99 | −1.0 | 59:10 |