Thu, Mar 3, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
10%
30%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Filppula–Brown–Paquette | Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos | Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | Boyle–Condra–Namestnikov | Johnson–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Callahan–Stamkos–Paquette | Filppula–Callahan–Killorn | Stralman–Hedman | Carle–Garrison | Coburn–Nesterov | Stralman–Nesterov | Coburn–Stralman | Carle–Stralman | Garrison–Hedman | Garrison–Nesterov | Hedman–Nesterov | Carle–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:470.05–0.00 | 5:560.28–0.17 | 2:470.06–0.00 | 2:270.17–0.14 | 3:230.61–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:300.24–0.00 | |||||||
| Smith–Stone–Pageau | 0:590.00–0.00 | 5:480.58–0.34 | 1:300.04–0.12 | 0:380.01–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 3:320.14–0.29 | 4:550.47–0.17 | 1:480.01–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Neil–Paul–Lazar | 5:360.08–0.24 | 0:420.06–0.00 | 1:180.03–0.19 | 2:360.03–0.39 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.05 | 0:400.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gomez–Chiasson–Dzingel | 2:020.00–0.02 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.02 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Chiasson–Dzingel–Lazar | 1:000.02–0.02 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Chiasson–Paul–Lazar | 0:340.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.11 | 0:480.00–0.11 | 0:310.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Methot–Ceci | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:230.01–0.07 | 1:320.06–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 1:400.00–0.11 | 1:300.01–0.03 | 2:320.00–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:040.06–0.02 | |||||||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 1:150.16–0.00 | 3:170.00–0.10 | 1:200.08–0.00 | 2:010.05–0.00 | 2:260.04–0.08 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:560.08–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 2:010.01–0.02 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 2:220.11–0.14 | 1:510.00–0.02 | 1:410.09–0.14 | 0:460.05–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Karlsson | 2:110.00–0.21 | 0:520.02–0.44 | 1:160.00–0.23 | 2:510.02–0.63 | 0:500.00–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.33 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Karlsson–Wideman | 1:550.00–0.01 | 1:050.02–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.01 | 1:170.54–0.04 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Phaneuf–Wideman | 1:420.00–0.00 | 1:020.03–0.00 | 1:340.03–0.15 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Methot–Wideman | 0:460.00–0.02 | 2:010.10–0.03 | 1:220.09–0.02 | 1:410.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Ceci | 1:390.57–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:250.14–0.04 | 0:460.42–0.00 | 0:390.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Methot | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 31:32 | 1:10 | 3:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 29 | 24:51 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 31 | 23:39 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 3 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 22:15 | 0:48 | 2:02 | 2 | 4 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 26 | 20:23 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 20:22 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 23 | 20:19 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 26 | 19:45 | 0:46 | 3:19 | 0 | 5 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 22 | 19:28 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 23 | 19:27 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 22 | 19:05 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 6 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 23 | 18:56 | 0:49 | 2:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 25 | 18:12 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 21 | 17:52 | 0:51 | 1:57 | 6 | 1 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 21 | 17:28 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 4 | 4 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 22 | 17:21 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 5 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 20 | 16:49 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 19 | 16:35 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 2:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 19 | 16:16 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 2 | 1 |
 JT BrownTBL | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 15:49 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 4 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 18 | 15:11 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Scott GomezOTT | 18 | 12:54 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 19 | 12:38 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 16 | 12:16 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 13 | 9:53 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 1 | 0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 12 | 9:48 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 16 | 9:38 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 14 | 9:21 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 12 | 8:23 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 1 | 0:56 | 0:56 | 0:56 | 0 | 0 |