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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 3, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

New Jersey Devils 5, Nashville Predators 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.

NSH winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zajac–Palmieri–BoucherHenrique–Smith-Pelly–KalininRuutu–Tootoo–GiontaKennedy–Josefson–BlandisiHenrique–Smith-Pelly–BoucherZajac–Palmieri–KalininRuutu–Henrique–Smith-PellyRuutu–Josefson–BlandisiGreene–LarssonSchlemko–MooreWarsofsky–MerrillMoore–MerrillSchlemko–WarsofskyWarsofsky–Larsson
Neal–Jarnkrok–Johansen3:580.05–0.012:430.01–0.001:320.05–0.022:100.00–0.000:450.08–0.000:430.00–0.020:520.04–0.098:070.15–0.043:040.05–0.011:060.09–0.021:510.05–0.020:330.00–0.00
Ribeiro–Smith–Forsberg2:420.05–0.054:390.34–0.150:580.00–0.001:230.06–0.044:260.12–0.013:540.25–0.142:230.07–0.171:080.00–0.060:580.05–0.02
Fisher–Wilson–Arvidsson1:070.02–0.000:450.00–0.002:310.29–0.002:270.04–0.001:160.02–0.002:380.28–0.002:270.00–0.023:360.13–0.131:120.00–0.001:000.04–0.00
Gaustad–Watson–Salomaki1:050.00–0.001:480.08–0.151:290.01–0.021:110.19–0.010:590.00–0.002:400.00–0.132:530.05–0.062:310.22–0.12
Fisher–Neal–Arvidsson0:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Weber–Josi9:120.17–0.013:040.06–0.130:470.00–0.002:250.04–0.002:050.06–0.048:360.22–0.005:520.14–0.032:440.00–0.260:480.00–0.001:470.09–0.020:420.00–0.00
Ellis–Bitetto1:160.15–0.003:370.36–0.043:150.03–0.000:560.07–0.001:290.11–0.145:240.29–0.042:020.15–0.054:040.37–0.092:450.07–0.06
Ekholm–Granberg1:190.00–0.003:360.05–0.082:290.00–0.001:070.19–0.011:370.02–0.000:480.00–0.003:250.00–0.005:470.07–0.102:530.19–0.010:490.00–0.00
Ellis–Ekholm2:370.21–0.090:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:550.07–0.012:260.15–0.090:480.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndFisher FWilson FArvidsson FForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FSalomaki FGaustad FWatson FGranberg DEkholm DWeber DJosi DBitetto DEllis DRinne GGionta FRuutu FTootoo FZajac FPalmieri FKalinin FSmith-Pelly FBoucher FHenrique FJosefson FKennedy FBlandisi FMoore DSchlemko DLarsson DGreene DMerrill DWarsofsky DKinkaid G
NSHNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3325:180:461:3687
Shea WeberNSH3225:000:471:3787
Ryan EllisNSH2923:010:481:5123
Adam LarssonNJD2822:350:481:3608
Andy GreeneNJD2822:190:481:4708
James NealNSH2521:470:522:1174
Adam HenriqueNJD2721:030:472:1782
Mattias EkholmNSH2820:450:441:5125
John MooreNJD3120:230:391:3146
David SchlemkoNJD2820:150:431:3924
Ryan JohansenNSH2319:580:522:2673
Travis ZajacNJD2718:300:411:0859
David WarsofskyNJD2418:210:462:1941
Filip ForsbergNSH2718:140:411:1752
Devante Smith-PellyNJD2518:100:442:0552
Jon MerrillNJD2217:590:492:2023
Calle JarnkrokNSH2417:080:431:2176
Kyle PalmieriNJD2516:500:401:0867
Sergey KalininNJD2116:210:471:5723
Craig SmithNSH2516:120:391:1481
Mike RibeiroNSH2316:100:421:2870
Joseph BlandisiNJD2115:530:451:2942
Reid BoucherNJD2315:260:401:0956
Anthony BitettoNSH2015:050:451:3020
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2215:030:411:3253
Jacob JosefsonNJD2114:400:421:3122
Mike FisherNSH2414:090:351:0644
Petter GranbergNSH1913:470:441:2823
Tuomo RuutuNJD2213:470:381:1413
Colin WilsonNSH2013:110:401:2242
Jordin TootooNJD1711:430:411:3614
Miikka SalomakiNSH1910:400:341:0706
Stephen GiontaNJD1610:330:401:1815
Tyler KennedyNJD1310:330:491:5222
Paul GaustadNSH2010:010:300:5707
Austin WatsonNSH189:190:310:5705