Tue, Mar 8, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal
Dallas Stars 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
11%
40%
MTL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 29:15 | 0.06 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 27:45 | 0.05 | 36.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.02 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.30 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:20 | 0.64 | 75.0% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.25 | 56.1% | +46.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.07 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.02 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.16 | 55.7% | +46.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.02 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.04 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.07 | 21.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.26 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.06 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 66.9% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.02 | 6.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 8.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.04 | −2.0 | 61:20 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:13 | 0.07 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 25:32 | 0.11 | 37.7% | +73.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.22 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.14 | 53.5% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.17 | 46.1% | +43.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.27 | 47.4% | +95.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.06 | 40.5% | +74.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.01 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.33 | 69.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.12 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.18 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.24 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.11 | 67.1% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 82.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.06 | −0.9 | 61:59 |