Wed, Mar 9, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:31 | 0.03 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.07 | 16.0% | +62.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.02 | 37.2% | +38.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 21:42 | 1.05 | 79.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.14 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.01 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.05 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.15 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.17 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.04 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.02 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:40 | 0.33 | 40.2% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.09 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.08 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 4.11 | +1.1 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 28:32 | 0.53 | 61.0% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 27:59 | 0.03 | 50.5% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:35 | 0.03 | 60.0% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 22:10 | 0.32 | 25.0% | +67.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.04 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.76 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:39 | 0.29 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.46 | 64.3% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.18 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.35 | 65.0% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.25 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.19 | 78.3% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.22 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:44 | 0.23 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.18 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.04 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.48 | −0.5 | 64:16 |