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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 9, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Nashville Predators 2, Calgary Flames 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 60% of the time.

CGY winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Smith–ForsbergFisher–Salomaki–ArvidssonNeal–Jarnkrok–JohansenWilson–Watson–SissonsFisher–Neal–ArvidssonJarnkrok–Johansen–SalomakiNeal–Wilson–JohansenRibeiro–Neal–ForsbergWeber–JosiEkholm–GranbergEllis–BitettoEllis–Ekholm
Ferland–Gaudreau–Monahan4:500.43–0.081:350.04–0.001:380.16–0.041:030.00–0.000:330.00–0.007:080.58–0.081:540.00–0.041:310.00–0.041:400.39–0.00
Frolik–Backlund–Hathaway0:460.00–0.003:210.09–0.002:140.05–0.001:310.03–0.002:110.07–0.00
Stajan–Bollig–Jooris0:330.00–0.002:160.04–0.010:400.00–0.041:210.00–0.012:020.04–0.041:190.03–0.00
Colborne–Bouma–Bennett0:430.00–0.001:480.11–0.091:010.00–0.041:030.00–0.070:530.00–0.001:070.00–0.040:300.11–0.02
Stajan–Colborne–Bouma1:170.00–0.030:450.00–0.001:170.00–0.030:470.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Backlund–Colborne–Bouma0:330.00–0.270:510.00–0.27
Backlund–Bollig–Hathaway0:530.00–0.03
Frolik–Backlund–Colborne0:430.04–0.00
Gaudreau–Monahan–Jooris0:410.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Stajan–Bouma–Jooris0:300.02–0.000:300.02–0.00
Giordano–Hamilton5:570.40–0.201:450.02–0.140:480.00–0.001:130.00–0.041:030.00–0.001:020.02–0.006:030.39–0.163:030.00–0.053:250.13–0.201:270.39–0.00
Brodie–Jokipakka1:110.03–0.001:480.02–0.000:490.00–0.010:530.00–0.274:170.05–0.282:240.03–0.000:380.04–0.00
Jokipakka–Nakladal1:120.00–0.090:570.07–0.000:420.04–0.001:110.00–0.001:400.00–0.092:320.14–0.00
Wotherspoon–Nakladal1:130.11–0.092:260.06–0.000:310.00–0.040:520.00–0.072:430.06–0.091:030.00–0.040:300.11–0.02
Giordano–Wotherspoon1:030.05–0.000:340.00–0.041:190.06–0.000:300.00–0.111:040.00–0.00
Jokipakka–Wotherspoon0:370.00–0.000:490.16–0.040:430.00–0.001:510.20–0.000:570.00–0.00
Brodie–Hamilton0:440.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Jokipakka–Hamilton1:020.00–0.001:280.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Hamilton0:330.00–0.270:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndColborne FBouma FBennett FGaudreau FMonahan FFerland FBacklund FHathaway FFrolik FJooris FBollig FStajan FJokipakka DNakladal DBrodie DHamilton DGiordano DWotherspoon DOrtio GFisher FSalomaki FArvidsson FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FWilson FWatson FSissons FWeber DJosi DGranberg DEkholm DBitetto DEllis DHutton G
CGYNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH3227:230:512:0061
Mark GiordanoCGY3327:200:501:2726
Dougie HamiltonCGY3027:100:541:4843
Roman JosiNSH3127:050:522:0050
Sean MonahanCGY3224:260:461:2773
Jyrki JokipakkaCGY3023:130:462:1026
Mattias EkholmNSH2921:150:441:3233
Johnny GaudreauCGY2621:080:491:2662
Ryan EllisNSH3020:290:411:4953
Mike RibeiroNSH2519:170:461:2670
Filip ForsbergNSH2619:130:441:1661
Mikael BacklundCGY2618:290:431:0436
James NealNSH2617:490:411:1543
Mike FisherNSH2517:080:411:3144
TJ BrodieCGY2116:470:481:2345
Michael FrolikCGY2316:330:431:2146
Micheal FerlandCGY2316:310:431:2122
Calle JarnkrokNSH2216:000:441:1835
Craig SmithNSH2315:580:421:3560
Joe ColborneCGY2515:560:381:0741
Miikka SalomakiNSH2014:320:441:3231
Ryan JohansenNSH2014:090:421:3243
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1913:490:441:1626
Tyler WotherspoonCGY1913:430:431:2432
Matt StajanCGY2013:320:411:2232
Jakub NakladalCGY1812:570:432:1031
Lance BoumaCGY2112:510:370:5533
Anthony BitettoNSH1912:400:401:1043
Petter GranbergNSH1612:240:471:2011
Garnet HathawayCGY2111:420:330:5955
Colin WilsonNSH1411:170:481:1723
Josh JoorisCGY1811:090:371:1123
Brandon BolligCGY159:040:360:5122
Austin WatsonNSH128:100:411:1211
Colton SissonsNSH127:140:361:0522
Sam BennettCGY83:490:290:4310