Fri, Mar 18, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 4, Calgary Flames 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
29%
8%
9%
53%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 28:20 | 0.04 | 80.2% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 27:42 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:09 | 0.11 | 38.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:10 | 0.01 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.04 | 47.7% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.25 | 72.1% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.28 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.87 | 54.1% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.42 | 82.8% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:36 | 0.85 | 65.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.43 | 55.1% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.12 | 82.1% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 11:01 | 0.13 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.06 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:54 | 0.00 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:56 | 0.03 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.94 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 29:20 | 0.00 | 30.2% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 28:02 | 0.39 | 28.3% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.04 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.08 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.04 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.10 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.50 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:57 | 0.51 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.35 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.29 | 90.4% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.02 | 87.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:07 | 0.25 | 70.4% | +36.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.10 | 82.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.28 | 28.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.02 | 82.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.65 | +0.7 | 64:39 |