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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 28, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:11Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  3. P1 3:58Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 5:56Shot by Kronwall, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 7:32Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 8:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 8:21Deslauriers: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  8. P1 9:29Shot by Kronwall, saved by Johnson5v4
  9. P1 9:44Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson5v4
  10. P1 12:47Larsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Zetterberg, Green, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Fasching, Ristolainen

  11. P1 12:50Shot by Green, saved by Johnson5v4
  12. P1 13:27Richards: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Green, Tatar, Mantha · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly

  13. P1 14:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard4v4
  14. P1 14:44Shot by Pysyk, saved by Howard4v4
  15. P1 14:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard4v5
  16. P1 15:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard4v5
  17. P1 15:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 17:07Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 18:09Gorges: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Kronwall, Marchenko, Glendening, Athanasiou · BUF Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  20. P1 18:30Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson5v4
  21. P1 18:32Goal by Larkin (Zetterberg, Kronwall)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, O'Reilly, McCabe

  22. P1 18:51Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:30Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  26. P2 0:30Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  27. P2 2:36Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  28. P2 4:02Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 4:21Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 4:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  31. P2 7:12Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 9:05Goal by Sheahan, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser · BUF Legwand, Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Ristolainen

  33. P2 9:39Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 10:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  35. P2 12:15Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 12:31Shot by Glendening, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 15:44Foligno: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Kronwall, Marchenko, Glendening, Athanasiou · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  38. P2 17:54Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 19:28Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:00Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  43. P3 1:29Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  44. P3 1:56Shot by Fasching, saved by Howard
  45. P3 5:47Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  46. P3 6:15McCabe: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Abdelkader, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  47. P3 6:25Shot by Legwand, saved by Howard5v4
  48. P3 6:39Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson5v4
  49. P3 7:23Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson5v4
  50. P3 8:42Shot by Quincey, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 9:17Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  52. P3 10:56Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 11:31Abdelkader: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Helm, Marchenko · BUF Gionta, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Nelson

  54. P3 12:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard4v5
  55. P3 15:59Shot by Moulson, saved by Howard
  56. P3 17:00Goal by Glendening (Zetterberg)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Marchenko, Glendening · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Fasching, Eichel

  57. P3 17:10Goal by Girgensons (Gionta, Ristolainen)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Ericsson, Green, Helm · BUF Gionta, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Nelson

  58. P3 17:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard5v6
  59. P3 18:11Goal by Reinhart (Nelson, O'Reilly)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser · BUF O'Reilly, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson

  60. P3 18:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard5v6
  61. P3 19:20Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v6
  62. P3 19:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final