Mon, Mar 28, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.
63%
9%
9%
20%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:21 | 0.07 | 19.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.02 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.09 | 19.4% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.01 | 34.7% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.69 | 50.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.07 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.21 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.43 | 57.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 80.6% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.01 | 9.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.01 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.03 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.02 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.02 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.10 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.23 | +0.2 | 57:08 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:23 | 0.02 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.06 | 44.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:11 | 0.38 | 84.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.02 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.37 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.09 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.02 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.73 | 57.6% | +0.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.46 | 82.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.04 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.09 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.06 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.28 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.14 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:23 | 0.14 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.02 | 67.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.02 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:49 | 0.01 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.83 | −0.2 | 59:46 |