Mon, Mar 28, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.
63%
9%
9%
20%
DET winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel | Legwand–Moulson–Fasching | O'Reilly–Kane–Deslauriers | O'Reilly–Reinhart–Eichel | O'Reilly–Kane–Fasching | Deslauriers–Girgensons–Eichel | Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson | O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart | Legwand–Gionta–Moulson | O'Reilly–Girgensons–Fasching | Moulson–Deslauriers–Girgensons | Gorges–Ristolainen | Bogosian–McCabe | Pysyk–Nelson | Gorges–Pysyk | McCabe–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Larkin | 2:160.19–0.00 | 1:300.05–0.00 | 1:360.08–0.05 | 0:490.05–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.00 | 3:420.26–0.00 | 2:410.08–0.05 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.07 | 0:500.10–0.00 | ||||||
| Datsyuk–Helm–Mantha | 0:580.05–0.07 | 4:060.05–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:480.13–0.07 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 2:320.00–0.21 | |||||||||||
| Nyquist–Tatar–Sheahan | 2:430.23–0.09 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 1:530.02–0.02 | 4:110.25–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Richards–Glendening–Athanasiou | 1:010.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Datsyuk–Nyquist–Tatar | 0:300.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Richards–Datsyuk–Mantha | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Helm–Sheahan–Glendening | 0:490.02–0.03 | 0:310.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Quincey–DeKeyser | 0:450.04–0.00 | 1:390.02–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:180.19–0.00 | 2:250.05–0.00 | 0:500.08–0.05 | 1:090.13–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | 5:110.28–0.04 | 2:550.08–0.05 | 2:410.00–0.03 | 1:090.13–0.00 | 0:510.10–0.00 | ||
| Kronwall–Marchenko | 1:440.04–0.07 | 2:410.04–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:320.04–0.07 | 3:470.09–0.00 | 1:590.03–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Ericsson–Green | 3:550.29–0.09 | 1:560.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 2:120.12–0.00 | 5:360.20–0.09 | 1:230.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Green–DeKeyser | 1:120.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Ericsson–Marchenko | 0:490.02–0.03 | 0:410.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Marchenko–DeKeyser | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Ericsson–Quincey | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 34 | 26:21 | 0:47 | 3:00 | 6 | 5 |
 Danny DeKeyserDET | 27 | 24:23 | 0:54 | 2:19 | 3 | 6 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 29 | 23:17 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 2 | 5 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 29 | 21:26 | 0:44 | 2:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 26 | 20:57 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 2 | 5 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 20:56 | 0:48 | 2:38 | 6 | 8 |
 Niklas KronwallDET | 25 | 20:15 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Henrik ZetterbergDET | 25 | 20:11 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 4 | 7 |
 Kyle QuinceyDET | 27 | 20:11 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 1 | 6 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 20:03 | 0:52 | 2:43 | 4 | 3 |
 Justin AbdelkaderDET | 25 | 19:48 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 6 |
 Pavel DatsyukDET | 25 | 18:50 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 7 | 1 |
 Mike GreenDET | 23 | 17:21 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 3 | 1 |
 Luke GlendeningDET | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 2 | 6 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 22 | 17:09 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 16:47 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 0 | 2 |
 Alexey MarchenkoDET | 23 | 16:19 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 2:38 | 4 | 4 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 23 | 15:40 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Gustav NyquistDET | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 15:21 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 Jonathan EricssonDET | 23 | 15:10 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 14:17 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 |
 Tomas TatarDET | 19 | 13:54 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 5 | 1 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 18 | 13:51 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony ManthaDET | 17 | 13:48 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 7 | 1 |
 Darren HelmDET | 21 | 13:23 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 5 | 0 |
 Riley SheahanDET | 19 | 12:59 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 David LegwandBUF | 16 | 12:40 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 6 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 17 | 12:22 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 15 | 11:34 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 14 | 11:24 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 12 | 11:00 | 0:55 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Brad RichardsDET | 16 | 10:52 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Hudson FaschingBUF | 13 | 10:38 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Andreas AthanasiouDET | 11 | 6:49 | 0:37 | 0:56 | 1 | 0 |