Mon, Mar 28, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
21%
8%
9%
62%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:45 | 0.15 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.08 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.06 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.34 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:39 | 0.26 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.21 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:20 | 0.38 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.01 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.27 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.12 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.08 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.19 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.73 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.08 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.87 | −1.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:23 | 0.13 | 71.1% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.16 | 44.6% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 45.4% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.23 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.25 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.34 | 62.4% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.27 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.16 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.11 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 56.9% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.12 | 51.9% | +15.9 |
| W | 34 | 34 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.96 | +3.0 | 60:00 |