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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 28, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–Hyman–NylanderMichalek–Grabner–KadriBoyes–Bozak–BrownLaich–Greening–SmithBozak–Kadri–HymanMichalek–Kadri–BrownLaich–Smith–HymanGardiner–CarrickMarincin–RiellyCorrado–Valiev
Johnson–Palat–Marchessault2:110.00–0.013:020.10–0.072:090.00–0.040:530.06–0.003:150.03–0.222:140.08–0.083:070.01–0.00
Condra–Killorn–Stamkos2:140.00–0.091:520.15–0.060:540.00–0.063:160.15–0.07
Filppula–Brown–Paquette1:540.00–0.182:080.00–0.021:230.00–0.003:140.00–0.20
Boyle–Blunden–Namestnikov0:490.00–0.002:160.03–0.100:510.00–0.061:590.03–0.160:540.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Filppula–Killorn–Stamkos2:200.04–0.011:560.00–0.421:220.04–0.342:340.00–0.10
Boyle–Blunden–Condra0:510.12–0.042:160.23–0.130:560.00–0.040:330.00–0.002:070.35–0.13
Namestnikov–Brown–Paquette0:490.00–0.090:300.00–0.021:060.04–0.001:330.04–0.09
Coburn–Carle4:150.04–0.141:050.10–0.005:120.11–0.480:310.00–0.003:540.04–0.484:070.11–0.132:240.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr2:310.00–0.023:490.23–0.131:050.05–0.001:270.00–0.021:060.04–0.003:390.27–0.003:070.05–0.013:260.00–0.15
Garrison–Nesterov1:400.02–0.070:500.08–0.071:370.00–0.122:450.23–0.083:160.00–0.323:050.09–0.141:460.23–0.08
Garrison–Sustr0:490.00–0.000:510.00–0.060:430.00–0.060:410.00–0.00
Hedman–Nesterov1:160.03–0.051:190.01–0.05
Coburn–Garrison0:310.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Nesterov–Sustr0:490.00–0.100:490.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FMarchessault FKillorn FFilppula FStamkos FBoyle FCondra FBlunden FPaquette FBrown FNamestnikov FSustr DHedman DCarle DCoburn DGarrison DNesterov DBishop GMichalek FGrabner FKadri FHyman FParenteau FNylander FBrown FBoyes FBozak FLaich FSmith FGreening FRielly DMarincin DCarrick DGardiner DCorrado DValiev DSparks G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3024:230:491:4717
Matt CarleTBL2521:540:531:3207
Jake GardinerTOR2721:450:481:4830
Morgan RiellyTOR2921:390:451:42101
Braydon CoburnTBL2520:340:491:3007
Steven StamkosTBL2320:060:521:4726
Martin MarincinTOR2619:560:462:1492
Connor CarrickTOR2718:560:422:0224
Tyler BozakTOR2518:390:451:1361
Nazem KadriTOR2518:390:451:3461
Jason GarrisonTBL2217:370:481:1716
Milan MichalekTOR2417:350:441:4861
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2117:270:501:3042
Zach HymanTOR2417:200:431:0661
Andrej SustrTBL2317:170:451:4107
William NylanderTOR2217:150:471:1560
Connor BrownTOR2317:130:451:4672
Alex KillornTBL2216:230:451:3015
PA ParenteauTOR2216:220:451:1570
Brian BoyleTBL1916:000:511:1506
Ondrej PalatTBL2415:470:391:1414
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:320:461:2923
Frank CorradoTOR2013:540:421:2631
Nikita NesterovTBL1613:480:521:4024
Brad BoyesTOR1913:210:421:1730
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL1813:160:441:1613
Colin GreeningTOR1713:140:471:4341
JT BrownTBL1913:040:411:1824
Michael GrabnerTOR2112:560:371:1032
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1612:410:481:2342
Rinat ValievTOR2012:250:371:1631
Cedric PaquetteTBL1912:010:381:1635
Ben SmithTOR1812:000:401:1244
Brooks LaichTOR1710:510:381:3342
Erik CondraTBL1410:260:451:3705
Mike BlundenTBL128:440:441:0803