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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 18, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Calgary Flames

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.

CGY winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Bennett, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Stajan, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Franson, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 2:54Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 3:12Gorges: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Bouma, Brodie, Bennett · BUF Gorges, Franson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Reinhart

  7. P1 3:45Shot by Gionta, saved by Johnson5v4
  8. P1 5:03Shot by Chiasson, saved by Lehner5v4
  9. P1 5:07Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner5v4
  10. P1 5:25Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 6:04Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 6:12Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 7:25Goal by Girgensons (Ennis)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brouwer, Brodie, Jokipakka, Bennett, Tkachuk · BUF Franson, Ennis, Kulikov, Girgensons, Baptiste

  14. P1 11:25Shot by Chiasson, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 11:43Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 13:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 15:40Shot by Versteeg, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 15:56Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 16:11Shot by Frolik, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 16:10Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 16:12Goal by Frolik (Backlund, Kulak)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Frolik, Backlund, Bouma, Kulak · BUF Bogosian, Ennis, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe

  22. P1 17:02Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 17:51Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 18:33McCabe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Gaudreau, Kulak, Monahan · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons, McCabe

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 3:56Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehner
  28. P2 4:24Gorges: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Franson, Foligno, Larsson

  29. P2 4:24Foligno: High sticking (2 min)6v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Franson, Foligno, Larsson

  30. P2 4:43Shot by Versteeg, saved by Lehner5v3
  31. P2 5:27Giordano: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · BUF Grant, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Ristolainen

  32. P2 6:19Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner4v3
  33. P2 10:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 10:44Stajan: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Chiasson, Ferland, Jokipakka, Hamilton · BUF Gionta, Franson, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson

  35. P2 10:57Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner4v5
  36. P2 11:12Shot by Okposo, saved by Johnson4v5
  37. P2 11:41Goal by O'Reilly (Ristolainen, Okposo)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brouwer, Brodie, Hamilton, Monahan · BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  38. P2 12:02Bennett: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Frolik, Gaudreau, Kulak, Bennett · BUF Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons, McCabe, Baptiste

  39. P2 14:24Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 16:28Shot by Franson, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 17:22Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 18:39Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 19:53Shot by Frolik, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:52Shot by Gorges, saved by Johnson
  47. P3 1:10Goal by Ferland, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Brouwer, Ferland, Kulak, Bennett · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  48. P3 2:24Shot by Ennis, saved by Johnson
  49. P3 2:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Johnson
  50. P3 2:58Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 3:49Goal by Foligno (Gionta, Larsson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Brouwer, Ferland, Kulak, Bennett · BUF Gionta, Franson, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson

  52. P3 4:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 4:52Goal by Tkachuk (Stajan, Giordano)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Versteeg, Chiasson, Tkachuk · BUF Gorges, Ennis, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen

  54. P3 5:56Shot by Frolik, saved by Lehner
  55. P3 6:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 7:04Shot by Ferland, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 7:32Shot by Gionta, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 9:24Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Backlund, Kulak, Tkachuk · BUF Gorges, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  59. P3 9:24Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Backlund, Kulak, Tkachuk · BUF Gorges, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  60. P3 9:24Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Versteeg, Backlund, Kulak, Tkachuk · BUF Gorges, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  61. P3 10:08Shot by Foligno, saved by Johnson5v4
  62. P3 10:09Giordano: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe

  63. P3 10:14Bennett: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Chiasson, Jokipakka, Bennett · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Ristolainen

  64. P3 13:05Larsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Chiasson, Jokipakka, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  65. P3 14:15Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner5v4
  66. P3 16:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johnson3v3
  70. OT 0:33Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johnson3v3
  71. OT 0:55Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehner3v3
  72. OT 1:19Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner3v3
  73. OT 1:54Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehner3v3
  74. OT 2:10Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehner3v3
  75. OT 2:26Goal by Monahan (Gaudreau, Giordano)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Monahan · BUF O'Reilly, McCabe, Reinhart

  76. OT 2:26Period end
  77. OT 2:26Final