Tue, Oct 18, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
25%
CGY winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Reinhart | Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | Ennis–Girgensons–Baptiste | Moulson–Grant–Deslauriers | Moulson–Girgensons–Baptiste | Ennis–Grant–Deslauriers | Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson | Bogosian–McCabe | Franson–Kulikov | Gorges–Ristolainen | Kulikov–Ristolainen | Gorges–Franson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frolik–Backlund–Bouma | 4:330.12–0.18 | 1:190.01–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 3:150.83–0.13 | 2:590.11–0.00 | 1:260.02–0.07 | ||||||
| Versteeg–Gaudreau–Monahan | 2:450.05–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:380.05–0.00 | |||||
| Stajan–Chiasson–Ferland | 1:330.27–0.00 | 1:280.06–0.15 | 0:560.11–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:570.02–0.15 | 1:210.25–0.00 | 1:040.34–0.00 | |||||
| Brouwer–Bennett–Tkachuk | 0:490.00–0.18 | 1:510.05–0.00 | 3:160.08–0.22 | 0:530.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Chiasson–Gaudreau–Monahan | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:250.04–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.15 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Stajan–Versteeg–Tkachuk | 1:240.05–0.17 | 0:410.05–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Brouwer–Ferland–Bennett | 1:220.00–0.11 | 0:380.11–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.11 | 0:570.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Frolik–Backlund–Gaudreau | 0:530.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brouwer–Gaudreau–Bennett | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Frolik–Backlund–Ferland | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Giordano–Brodie | 8:180.23–0.34 | 1:130.04–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 5:210.07–0.24 | 4:340.16–0.00 | 3:530.07–0.07 | ||||||
| Engelland–Kulak | 0:320.13–0.00 | 2:580.17–0.06 | 2:460.11–0.01 | 1:240.00–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.04 | 4:420.87–0.01 | 3:310.23–0.10 | 1:440.31–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.05–0.00 |
| Jokipakka–Hamilton | 1:080.00–0.00 | 4:210.05–0.15 | 1:570.05–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.17 | 4:020.04–0.30 | 3:330.05–0.17 | 2:500.01–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.14 | |||
| Brodie–Jokipakka | 0:310.00–0.18 | 0:310.00–0.18 | ||||||||||
| Engelland–Giordano | 0:460.13–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 32 | 26:30 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 8 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 33 | 26:04 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 6 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 29 | 24:16 | 0:50 | 2:31 | 3 | 9 |
 TJ BrodieCGY | 30 | 22:53 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 5 | 3 |
 Dougie HamiltonCGY | 27 | 21:41 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 7 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 28 | 21:12 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 27 | 20:42 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 9 | 4 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 25 | 20:01 | 0:48 | 2:53 | 8 | 5 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 28 | 19:54 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 30 | 19:35 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 28 | 18:46 | 0:40 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Deryk EngellandCGY | 28 | 18:27 | 0:40 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Troy BrouwerCGY | 28 | 18:05 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 8 | 5 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 29 | 17:44 | 0:37 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 23 | 17:01 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 23 | 16:55 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 15:59 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 23 | 15:50 | 0:41 | 2:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 24 | 15:26 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Brett KulakCGY | 25 | 15:19 | 0:37 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 24 | 15:15 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 3 | 7 |
 Sam BennettCGY | 26 | 15:11 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 6 | 4 |
 Michael FrolikCGY | 21 | 15:10 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Jyrki JokipakkaCGY | 22 | 14:50 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 2 | 5 |
 Kris VersteegCGY | 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Alex ChiassonCGY | 20 | 12:38 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt StajanCGY | 18 | 12:36 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 18 | 12:19 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 6 | 0 |
 Micheal FerlandCGY | 17 | 11:54 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Lance BoumaCGY | 19 | 11:22 | 0:36 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Matthew TkachukCGY | 16 | 10:39 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 17 | 10:39 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 10:02 | 0:32 | 1:05 | 3 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 12 | 9:16 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 14 | 8:50 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 1 | 0 |