Tue, Oct 18, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
25%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 26:04 | 0.02 | 25.6% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:16 | 1.03 | 39.8% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.03 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.01 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 23.9% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.02 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.17 | 41.8% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.17 | 50.5% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.22 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.05 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.42 | 52.1% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 6.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.14 | 28.3% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.34 | 25.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.03 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.66 | −0.3 | 62:08 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 26:30 | 0.13 | 60.4% | +71.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.07 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.07 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.35 | 44.0% | +45.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.36 | 33.4% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.05 | 93.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.02 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.32 | 80.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.05 | 93.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.14 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:10 | 0.68 | 81.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.05 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.14 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.53 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.02 | 70.2% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11:54 | 0.56 | 66.1% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.01 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.10 | 36.2% | +26.2 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.62 | −0.4 | 62:22 |