Thu, Oct 20, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
33%
10%
8%
50%
CGY winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:49 | 0.19 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.02 | 70.1% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.16 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.06 | 28.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.06 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.29 | 69.1% | +3.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.48 | 27.0% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.06 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.24 | 55.8% | +33.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.52 | 76.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.47 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.11 | 80.6% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:51 | 0.19 | 65.2% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:12 | 0.05 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.03 | 56.7% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.21 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 59:54 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:24 | 0.16 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.18 | 29.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.03 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.21 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.14 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.09 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:41 | 0.50 | 30.0% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.09 | 26.6% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.07 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.12 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.33 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.09 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.29 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 27.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:58 | 0.13 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.02 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.11 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.09 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.18 | −0.8 | 59:29 |