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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 26, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Washington Capitals 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 92% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #74000−1425:410.3519.7%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8011+1322:220.2914.7%+0.3
Nicklas BackstromC · #19112+1421:150.2852.6%+2.3
Nate SchmidtD · #880000518:580.1632.0%0.0
Brooks OrpikD · #440000218:540.0331.8%0.0
Karl AlznerD · #27000+1217:290.0723.1%0.0
Dmitry OrlovD · #9000−2117:000.0220.1%0.0
Marcus JohanssonLW · #90101+1216:580.1048.7%+0.3
Evgeny KuznetsovC · #920000216:520.125.4%0.0
Justin WilliamsRW · #14000−1216:330.1855.5%0.0
Andre BurakovskyLW · #65000−1015:100.095.1%0.0
Brett ConnollyRW · #100000215:010.1737.0%0.0
Lars EllerC · #200000014:550.0240.1%0.0
Daniel WinnikLW · #260000114:290.0848.3%0.0
Matt NiskanenD · #20000113:010.0428.8%0.0
Jay BeagleC · #83000−2212:030.0711.5%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #43000−128:230.229.7%0.0
Zachary SanfordLW · #82000−108:230.0214.7%0.0
Braden Holtby#70L37334.8925.07+1.157:54

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #440110422:540.8885.6%+1.5
Jake GardinerD · #510000420:540.1757.5%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #220000120:530.0984.2%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #160220118:020.2277.1%+23.9
Leo KomarovRW · #470110317:530.1590.7%+1.5
Matt HunwickD · #2011+1117:510.0875.4%+3.9
Tyler BozakC · #420110117:240.1972.6%+13.5
Nazem KadriC · #431010617:061.0583.2%+1.5
James van RiemsdykLW · #25101−1316:540.8272.6%+10.4
Roman PolakD · #46000+1016:530.0275.2%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #11011+1216:170.2367.7%+3.9
Connor BrownRW · #12000+1116:060.1869.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1215:440.5872.5%+3.9
Nikita SoshnikovRW · #260110415:190.7991.6%+10.4
Connor CarrickD · #80000013:000.0049.1%0.0
Ben SmithRW · #180000112:100.0346.9%0.0
Peter HollandC · #24000019:410.1560.2%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15101+127:170.1466.1%+13.5
Frederik Andersen#31W35332.9432.29+0.359:42