Sat, Nov 26, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Washington Capitals 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 92% of the time.
89%
TOR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Winnik–Eller–Connolly | Williams–Backstrom–Johansson | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky | Ovechkin–Backstrom–Johansson | Beagle–Wilson–Sanford | Backstrom–Johansson–Sanford | Williams–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky | Winnik–Eller–Wilson | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | Orpik–Schmidt | Carlson–Orlov | Niskanen–Alzner | Alzner–Schmidt | Orlov–Schmidt | Orpik–Carlson | Orpik–Orlov | Alzner–Carlson | Alzner–Orlov | Carlson–Schmidt | Niskanen–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | 1:120.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.06 | 0:580.00–0.08 | 1:430.03–0.03 | 0:410.11–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:020.11–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 2:370.12–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:020.14–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:340.13–0.00 | ||||||
| Hyman–Brown–Matthews | 3:070.24–0.10 | 2:250.04–0.19 | 0:470.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 1:090.07–0.02 | 1:480.00–0.07 | 2:250.71–0.08 | 1:410.04–0.13 | 1:260.26–0.00 | 0:450.08–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.05 | 0:440.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | 5:160.82–0.01 | 1:220.20–0.11 | 1:000.17–0.00 | 3:330.24–0.10 | 1:360.23–0.00 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 0:350.12–0.00 | 1:300.40–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Martin–Smith–Holland | 3:060.09–0.15 | 0:470.08–0.02 | 3:380.08–0.06 | 0:340.07–0.08 | 0:340.08–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Rielly–Zaitsev | 1:100.07–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 4:420.79–0.00 | 2:260.21–0.15 | 1:000.17–0.00 | 1:050.03–0.00 | 4:020.24–0.17 | 2:070.23–0.04 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 0:310.29–0.04 | 0:350.12–0.00 | 1:260.40–0.02 | 0:530.18–0.00 | 0:370.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 0:480.00–0.05 | 4:220.10–0.21 | 0:540.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:540.03–0.02 | 1:230.11–0.03 | 3:410.17–0.07 | 2:570.08–0.04 | 2:370.07–0.11 | 0:320.05–0.08 | 0:490.07–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Polak–Hunwick | 5:530.25–0.16 | 0:510.00–0.09 | 2:020.79–0.07 | 4:590.00–0.12 | 1:100.77–0.05 | 1:140.08–0.02 | 0:320.18–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hunwick–Gardiner | 0:460.07–0.02 | 0:350.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 25:41 | 0:53 | 2:31 | 2 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 33 | 22:54 | 0:42 | 2:22 | 8 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 22:22 | 1:07 | 3:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 23 | 21:15 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 7 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 25 | 20:54 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 5 | 4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 28 | 20:53 | 0:45 | 2:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Nate SchmidtWSH | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 1 | 5 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 1 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 18:02 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 4 | 5 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 26 | 17:53 | 0:41 | 2:22 | 8 | 3 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 26 | 17:51 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 2 | 7 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 26 | 17:29 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 6 | 7 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 17:24 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 4 | 5 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 22 | 17:06 | 0:47 | 2:22 | 6 | 0 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 24 | 17:00 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 0 | 2 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 22 | 16:58 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 4 | 4 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 22 | 16:54 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 4 | 5 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 24 | 16:53 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 2 | 7 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 22 | 16:52 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 6 | 2 |
 Justin WilliamsWSH | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 6 | 0 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 23 | 16:17 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 24 | 16:06 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 15:44 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 22 | 15:19 | 0:42 | 2:22 | 8 | 1 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 20 | 15:10 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Brett ConnollyWSH | 18 | 15:01 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 18 | 14:55 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Daniel WinnikWSH | 18 | 14:29 | 0:48 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 17 | 13:01 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 19 | 13:00 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 18 | 12:10 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 4 | 6 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 19 | 12:03 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 4 | 6 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 12 | 9:41 | 0:48 | 1:04 | 5 | 0 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 15 | 8:23 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 2 | 5 |
 Zachary SanfordWSH | 15 | 8:23 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 11 | 7:17 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 2 | 0 |