Sun, Jan 8, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.
61%
8%
24%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:52 | 0.03 | 24.2% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:43 | 0.14 | 48.6% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:40 | 0.03 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.36 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.07 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.01 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.48 | 67.2% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 17:14 | 0.24 | 21.1% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.39 | 18.6% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.61 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.13 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.08 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.04 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:43 | 0.13 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 34 | 6 | .850 | 4.04 | −2.0 | 59:46 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:01 | 0.09 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.06 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.10 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 66.2% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.10 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.28 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.16 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.21 | 68.5% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:59 | 0.29 | 93.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.30 | 90.7% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:52 | 0.64 | 79.0% | +2.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.29 | 73.2% | +10.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.49 | 94.1% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.06 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.32 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.12 | 75.7% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 10:42 | 0.39 | 74.3% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 6:47 | 0.17 | 70.2% | +3.4 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.78 | +0.8 | 60:00 |