Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 8, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–NamestnikovCondra–Killorn–JohnsonFilppula–Paquette–DrouinBournival–Peca–ErneStralman–GarrisonHedman–SustrKoekkoek–SustrStralman–HedmanWitkowski–HedmanGarrison–WitkowskiGarrison–SustrStralman–KoekkoekHedman–Koekkoek
Crosby–Rust–Sheary1:010.00–0.005:320.19–0.023:300.51–0.021:330.00–0.003:360.17–0.003:350.00–0.041:380.51–0.001:180.05–0.011:160.01–0.00
Malkin–Hornqvist–Hagelin3:400.00–0.621:220.20–0.022:290.10–0.112:160.04–0.043:470.14–0.040:420.00–0.001:340.06–0.022:360.05–0.740:300.00–0.001:200.10–0.000:380.09–0.00
Kunitz–Kessel–Bonino3:200.14–0.071:440.00–0.002:300.34–0.070:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:410.00–0.102:440.00–0.000:440.14–0.001:230.34–0.090:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:090.00–0.00
Cullen–Fehr–Wilson0:500.00–0.001:180.40–0.000:350.00–0.002:350.02–0.090:350.13–0.111:010.16–0.000:510.04–0.001:340.02–0.070:370.10–0.000:580.00–0.020:350.00–0.00
Kunitz–Bonino–Rust0:520.00–0.010:410.00–0.01
Malkin–Kessel–Hagelin0:300.00–0.030:320.00–0.00
Cole–Schultz2:390.00–0.744:560.14–0.032:310.10–0.001:550.00–0.022:350.13–0.061:370.00–0.000:520.02–0.001:150.00–0.011:590.00–0.691:320.01–0.021:480.10–0.000:390.00–0.00
Letang–Maatta4:530.00–0.012:010.00–0.021:040.04–0.022:280.00–0.022:220.16–0.080:570.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:260.00–0.010:410.04–0.00
Daley–Letang1:120.14–0.001:300.11–0.011:150.02–0.001:560.17–0.111:310.00–0.011:280.13–0.000:580.14–0.000:310.05–0.00
Daley–Oleksy2:030.00–0.002:170.55–0.031:150.00–0.020:370.00–0.001:190.00–0.001:000.51–0.000:350.00–0.020:450.46–0.001:200.04–0.00
Oleksy–Maatta2:050.34–0.190:510.00–0.000:350.06–0.000:370.00–0.001:560.34–0.13
Letang–Cole0:310.00–0.000:300.18–0.00
Cole–Oleksy0:430.00–0.070:450.00–0.070:360.10–0.00
Letang–Oleksy0:390.09–0.000:340.00–0.000:360.09–0.00
Daley–Maatta0:300.00–0.000:350.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRust FSheary FCrosby FMalkin FHornqvist FHagelin FBonino FKunitz FKessel FCullen FFehr FWilson FDaley DLetang DSchultz DCole DMaatta DOleksy DFleury GJohnson FKillorn FCondra FPalat FKucherov FNamestnikov FPaquette FDrouin FFilppula FBournival FPeca FErne FSustr DHedman DGarrison DStralman DWitkowski DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3027:010:541:4453
Anton StralmanTBL2724:520:551:4627
Victor HedmanTBL3024:430:491:3637
Jason GarrisonTBL2921:400:451:3118
Trevor DaleyPIT2820:150:431:0762
Andrej SustrTBL2620:130:471:1104
Ondrej PalatTBL2219:530:541:3624
Ian ColePIT2719:420:441:1125
Tyler JohnsonTBL2619:120:441:2045
Olli MaattaPIT2319:040:501:3553
Justin SchultzPIT2418:500:471:2612
Alex KillornTBL2418:210:461:2033
Evgeni MalkinPIT2117:490:511:4842
Carl HagelinPIT2117:220:501:3221
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2017:180:521:4312
Nick BoninoPIT2117:140:491:3542
Jonathan DrouinTBL2017:140:521:4126
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2217:060:471:3536
Sidney CrosbyPIT2516:590:411:0863
Nikita KucherovTBL1916:580:541:3614
Bryan RustPIT2215:590:441:3532
Phil KesselPIT2115:520:451:1791
Chris KunitzPIT1915:090:481:4351
Conor ShearyPIT2214:570:411:0922
Steve OleksyPIT1614:210:541:2113
Patric HornqvistPIT1713:240:471:4822
Erik CondraTBL1713:150:471:1802
Cedric PaquetteTBL1912:540:411:1826
Adam ErneTBL1711:190:401:2721
Slater KoekkoekTBL1611:100:421:4020
Matt CullenPIT1810:480:361:0715
Eric FehrPIT1710:420:381:0614
Luke WitkowskiTBL1610:160:391:3521
Matthew PecaTBL149:080:391:1811
Michael BournivalTBL158:430:351:0621
Scott WilsonPIT116:470:371:0411