Tue, Jan 31, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Dallas Stars 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
28%
10%
55%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:24 | 0.21 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:53 | 0.35 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:15 | 0.10 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.13 | 52.4% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.03 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:22 | 0.64 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.10 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.03 | 34.3% | +2.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 17:12 | 0.40 | 61.2% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.03 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.03 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.29 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.15 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.05 | 48.3% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.50 | 47.9% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:06 | 0.21 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 9:50 | 0.20 | 51.0% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.01 | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| – | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 0.95 | −2.0 | 11:12 | |
| L | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.69 | −1.3 | 48:17 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.05 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.00 | 38.0% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.02 | 41.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.61 | 60.3% | +10.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.42 | 70.6% | +10.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.30 | 54.4% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.25 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.06 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 61.5% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.11 | 23.2% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.16 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.17 | 38.8% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.11 | 38.6% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.12 | 51.1% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.10 | 56.7% | +7.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.16 | 65.0% | +14.5 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.46 | +0.5 | 60:00 |