Sat, Feb 4, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 0, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
43%
11%
10%
36%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Brassard–Smith–Stone | Ryan–Turris–Dzingel | Kelly–Wingels–Lazar | Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau | Ryan–Turris–Hoffman | Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | Ryan–Brassard–Stone | Kelly–Dzingel–Lazar | Brassard–Wingels–Stone | Turris–Hoffman–Dzingel | Phaneuf–Ceci | Methot–Karlsson | Borowiecki–Wideman | Methot–Ceci | Karlsson–Borowiecki | Phaneuf–Karlsson | Methot–Wideman | Phaneuf–Wideman | Karlsson–Wideman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gionta–Kane–Girgensons | 1:270.01–0.04 | 3:100.13–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:480.06–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.08 | 5:130.00–0.08 | 1:300.07–0.09 | 1:210.01–0.03 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:450.13–0.00 | ||||||||
| Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel | 2:000.04–0.18 | 1:150.22–0.02 | 2:170.38–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.04 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 3:090.10–0.07 | 3:190.46–0.18 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly | 2:180.02–0.07 | 1:220.00–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:430.03–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.04 | 1:560.02–0.06 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 0:490.12–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Okposo–Ennis–O'Reilly | 1:370.11–0.12 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.30 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:340.11–0.12 | 1:160.00–0.30 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bailey–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:350.07–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:490.39–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| Ennis–Kane–Girgensons | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Ennis–Deslauriers–Bailey | 0:480.05–0.00 | 1:160.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Foligno | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Bailey | 0:390.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gionta–Deslauriers–Girgensons | 0:330.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Kulikov–Ristolainen | 6:130.22–0.34 | 1:170.01–0.04 | 1:300.05–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 2:550.03–0.07 | 1:210.00–0.08 | 6:530.07–0.15 | 4:250.16–0.35 | 1:130.01–0.03 | 1:440.01–0.00 | 2:060.07–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.04 | |||||
| Franson–McCabe | 1:090.00–0.08 | 2:110.05–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.07 | 1:440.08–0.16 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:110.03–0.00 | 4:490.13–0.11 | 2:570.07–0.02 | 1:420.00–0.06 | 1:370.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:370.12–0.09 | 1:190.05–0.12 | |||||
| Gorges–Falk | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:420.21–0.01 | 1:150.33–0.00 | 1:140.13–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.30 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:570.47–0.00 | 3:200.44–0.00 | 2:580.02–0.31 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:130.13–0.06 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Franson–Kulikov | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Gorges–Franson | 0:350.13–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 0:500.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 30 | 25:23 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 30 | 25:11 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 26 | 24:30 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 23 | 22:49 | 1:00 | 1:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 22:26 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 24 | 21:11 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 24 | 20:49 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 0 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 23 | 20:13 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 3 | 5 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 22 | 19:36 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 3 | 1 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 23 | 19:31 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 5 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 19:22 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 6 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 26 | 18:48 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 0 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 20 | 18:47 | 0:56 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 21 | 18:25 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 17:55 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 4 | 3 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 17:32 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 22 | 16:04 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 20 | 15:56 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 23 | 15:24 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 17 | 15:11 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 19 | 15:02 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 1 | 0 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 19 | 14:54 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 20 | 13:51 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 5 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 19 | 13:17 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 17 | 11:51 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 12 | 11:37 | 0:58 | 1:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 18 | 11:33 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 2 | 5 |
 Tommy WingelsOTT | 13 | 10:44 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 10 | 9:48 | 0:59 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 13 | 9:35 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 12 | 9:24 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 12 | 9:05 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 8 | 6:54 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |