Tue, Feb 7, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Calgary Flames 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
41%
10%
42%
PIT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:50 | 0.07 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:21 | 0.17 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:25 | 0.29 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.55 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.07 | 42.9% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:03 | 0.43 | 50.2% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:44 | 0.65 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.30 | 59.2% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.19 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.01 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.13 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.02 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.23 | 36.0% | +21.7 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.07 | +1.1 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 0.27 | 42.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.49 | 48.1% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.17 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.27 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.02 | 71.6% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.09 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.02 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.18 | 47.6% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.13 | 46.2% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.01 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.11 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.25 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.02 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.13 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8:04 | 0.23 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.67 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.11 | +1.1 | 65:00 |