Thu, Mar 2, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Arizona Coyotes 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 95% of the time.
93%
BUF winsARI wins
Arizona Coyotes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 26:19 | 0.04 | 27.0% | +34.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:47 | 0.03 | 27.9% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:56 | 0.18 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.19 | 26.7% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.25 | 34.6% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.08 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.14 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.06 | 31.7% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.18 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.05 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:55 | 0.17 | 22.5% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.02 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.77 | −0.2 | 58:52 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 24:39 | 0.39 | 62.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.16 | 45.6% | +74.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.03 | 61.7% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 75.4% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:51 | 1.44 | 63.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.01 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:40 | 1.12 | 75.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.05 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:04 | 0.40 | 42.2% | +46.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:48 | 0.53 | 79.4% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.27 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.10 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.05 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:03 | 0.35 | 93.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 13.0% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.01 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.07 | 96.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.41 | −1.6 | 60:00 |