Thu, Mar 2, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Arizona Coyotes 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 95% of the time.
93%
BUF winsARI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ARI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| McGinn–Rieder–Martinook | Pulkkinen–Domi–Dvorak | Vrbata–Holland–Perlini | Doan–Jooris–Crouse | Vrbata–Holland–Domi | Doan–Perlini–Dvorak | Rieder–Martinook–Crouse | Pulkkinen–Jooris–Crouse | Vrbata–McGinn–Holland | Doan–Dvorak–Crouse | Doan–McGinn–Jooris | Murphy–Chychrun | Goligoski–Ekman-Larsson | Schenn–Connauton | Ekman-Larsson–Murphy | Goligoski–Murphy | Goligoski–Chychrun | Goligoski–Schenn | Schenn–Ekman-Larsson | Ekman-Larsson–Chychrun | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel | 2:330.07–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:270.06–0.02 | 1:100.02–0.08 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 2:480.12–0.00 | 1:470.02–0.02 | 1:260.04–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.08 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Ennis–O'Reilly | 1:350.00–0.04 | 1:500.00–0.15 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 1:210.03–0.03 | 4:270.04–0.04 | 2:220.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Gionta–Kane–Girgensons | 0:420.10–0.00 | 2:340.44–0.09 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 2:170.11–0.13 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 0:450.44–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Moulson–Bailey–Rodrigues | 1:170.01–0.00 | 1:100.04–0.00 | 1:030.21–0.00 | 1:130.01–0.00 | 2:520.25–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gionta–O'Reilly–Kane | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.01 | 1:250.17–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.01 | 0:400.17–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons | 0:380.00–0.04 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Foligno–Bailey–Rodrigues | 0:380.05–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.02 | 0:450.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Rodrigues | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Kane–Foligno–Girgensons | 0:540.24–0.00 | 0:540.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 1:440.00–0.16 | 1:560.24–0.00 | 1:480.01–0.00 | 1:380.06–0.02 | 3:520.07–0.10 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.03 | 3:450.11–0.12 | 4:300.03–0.06 | 1:260.03–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.10 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 1:260.02–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.00 | 1:370.32–0.04 | |||||
| Bogosian–Kulikov | 3:100.17–0.04 | 2:070.00–0.24 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 1:380.06–0.00 | 1:090.21–0.00 | 1:060.12–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:120.01–0.00 | 2:080.26–0.21 | 2:010.10–0.04 | 3:550.14–0.04 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 1:460.01–0.01 | 0:360.12–0.02 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||
| Gorges–Franson | 2:230.10–0.09 | 1:460.44–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.04 | 3:010.32–0.16 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 4:010.11–0.06 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.02 | 2:070.46–0.10 | 1:150.17–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:210.14–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFARIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonARI | 32 | 26:19 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 6 | 3 |
 Alex GoligoskiARI | 29 | 24:47 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 24:39 | 0:57 | 2:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Connor MurphyARI | 30 | 21:56 | 0:44 | 2:48 | 3 | 6 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 20:32 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 8 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 27 | 19:54 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 6 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunARI | 23 | 19:06 | 0:50 | 3:14 | 0 | 3 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Luke SchennARI | 27 | 18:06 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 22 | 17:51 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 19 | 17:49 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 21 | 17:40 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 19 | 17:37 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 2 | 5 |
 Christian DvorakARI | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederARI | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 2:33 | 2 | 9 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 7 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookARI | 19 | 17:03 | 0:54 | 3:04 | 1 | 8 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 23 | 16:48 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 16:05 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Shane DoanARI | 17 | 15:43 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 3 | 0 |
 Radim VrbataARI | 19 | 15:40 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Peter HollandARI | 20 | 15:39 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Max DomiARI | 20 | 14:40 | 0:44 | 0:59 | 4 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 13:39 | 0:39 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 15 | 13:09 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 15 | 13:03 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 2 | 2 |
 Jamie McGinnARI | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 3 | 7 |
 Lawson CrouseARI | 15 | 12:44 | 0:51 | 2:46 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 15 | 12:16 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 6 | 0 |
 Brendan PerliniARI | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Josh JoorisARI | 15 | 11:28 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 13 | 11:25 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Teemu PulkkinenARI | 15 | 10:55 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Kevin ConnautonARI | 14 | 9:17 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 12 | 8:47 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |