Fri, Mar 3, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.
75%
14%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 24:45 | 0.16 | 46.9% | +30.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 7 | 22:52 | 1.28 | 43.8% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.02 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:17 | 0.36 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.12 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.18 | 32.8% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.01 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.05 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.10 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.16 | 64.8% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 61.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.01 | 60.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.08 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:25 | 0.08 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:59 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 4.00 | 0.0 | 58:25 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:07 | 0.05 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.09 | 77.5% | +34.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.46 | 64.8% | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:31 | 0.68 | 69.2% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.04 | 60.6% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.05 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.51 | 90.7% | +78.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.17 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.35 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.16 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.07 | 77.5% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:29 | 0.31 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:23 | 0.28 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.17 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.14 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.13 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:45 | 0.18 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:44 | 0.81 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.61 | +0.6 | 59:49 |