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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 3, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Palat–KucherovKillorn–Drouin–PointNamestnikov–Paquette–ErneDumont–McKegg–BrownJohnson–Kucherov–DrouinJohnson–Palat–ErneStralman–GarrisonHedman–DotchinCoburn–SustrStralman–HedmanHedman–Sustr
Kunitz–Crosby–Sheary3:550.33–0.021:120.00–0.002:440.01–0.021:450.04–0.014:420.17–0.034:500.21–0.021:060.00–0.00
Malkin–Hornqvist–Hagelin1:270.16–0.004:200.57–0.070:390.00–0.001:200.11–0.000:330.00–0.003:330.04–0.001:270.09–0.002:580.66–0.071:120.12–0.00
Kessel–Bonino–Guentzel2:370.39–0.001:590.49–0.021:480.05–0.140:390.01–0.001:440.16–0.162:510.23–0.003:020.54–0.00
Cullen–Kuhnhackl–Wilson1:040.05–0.111:390.01–0.002:220.00–0.031:100.00–0.001:200.04–0.002:550.00–0.013:060.05–0.13
Crosby–Kessel–Guentzel0:380.00–0.011:180.04–0.001:560.00–0.120:300.04–0.00
Bonino–Wilson–Guentzel1:000.00–0.151:060.04–0.15
Streit–Hainsey5:500.55–0.014:500.56–0.000:390.00–0.005:260.28–0.123:480.04–0.424:140.78–0.001:380.24–0.00
Cole–Ruhwedel2:200.47–0.110:470.01–0.034:220.05–0.163:560.11–0.160:430.02–0.004:330.23–0.152:420.35–0.005:390.14–0.30
Schultz–Dumoulin3:130.21–0.253:510.68–0.172:050.00–0.021:400.08–0.000:300.01–0.003:150.06–0.057:050.21–0.291:380.53–0.040:400.18–0.10
Hainsey–Dumoulin0:320.00–0.000:570.00–0.041:160.00–0.050:410.00–0.00
Cole–Schultz0:440.01–0.000:530.00–0.001:270.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKunitz FSheary FCrosby FMalkin FHagelin FHornqvist FBonino FGuentzel FKessel FCullen FWilson FKuhnhackl FSchultz DDumoulin DStreit DHainsey DRuhwedel DCole DMurray GJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FPoint FDrouin FPaquette FErne FNamestnikov FBrown FMcKegg FDumont FDotchin DHedman DGarrison DStralman DCoburn DSustr DBudaj G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ron HainseyPIT2825:070:542:1846
Victor HedmanTBL2224:451:082:2352
Nikita KucherovTBL2322:521:002:2331
Tyler JohnsonTBL2422:500:572:0932
Ondrej PalatTBL2422:170:561:3933
Anton StralmanTBL2021:551:063:0723
Jonathan DrouinTBL2121:391:022:2322
Sidney CrosbyPIT2320:220:532:4471
Justin SchultzPIT2419:420:492:3951
Mark StreitPIT2619:310:451:3043
Ian ColePIT2419:040:481:2124
Brian DumoulinPIT2518:560:451:0524
Jake DotchinTBL1918:561:002:0933
Jason GarrisonTBL2018:390:561:4514
Evgeni MalkinPIT2116:570:482:2171
Carl HagelinPIT2216:280:451:1653
Nick BoninoPIT2316:250:431:2124
Jake GuentzelPIT1916:110:511:2522
Phil KesselPIT1716:090:572:2142
Brayden PointTBL2015:410:471:3113
Chad RuhwedelPIT2115:290:441:0923
Andrej SustrTBL2015:220:461:1124
Alex KillornTBL1914:590:471:2504
Braydon CoburnTBL2114:370:421:1124
Patric HornqvistPIT1914:230:451:1671
Chris KunitzPIT1714:130:501:1940
Conor ShearyPIT1613:380:511:2350
Adam ErneTBL1713:350:481:3864
Cedric PaquetteTBL1812:160:411:0847
Matt CullenPIT1912:110:381:0104
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1712:090:431:1253
Scott WilsonPIT149:450:421:1804
Tom KuhnhacklPIT179:440:341:0704
JT BrownTBL139:360:441:0912
Greg McKeggTBL118:250:461:0113
Gabriel DumontTBL117:590:441:0112