Sun, Mar 5, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
New York Islanders 2, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
40%
CGY winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.02 | 51.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.06 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:22 | 0.69 | 37.7% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.05 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.60 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:44 | 0.33 | 47.4% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.06 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.09 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.08 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:25 | 0.12 | 50.6% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.10 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 15:19 | 0.31 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.01 | 60.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.06 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.03 | 63.2% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.15 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.02 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 1.93 | −2.1 | 20:00 | |
| – | 16 | 15 | 1 | .938 | 1.06 | +0.1 | 37:18 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.10 | 47.0% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.12 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.04 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.24 | 60.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.02 | 43.9% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.20 | 72.2% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.12 | 37.0% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.43 | 40.1% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.54 | 62.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.14 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 14:42 | 0.34 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.04 | 50.4% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.17 | 50.8% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.11 | 38.0% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.32 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 57.7% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.05 | 66.7% | +11.8 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.84 | +0.8 | 59:52 |