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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 6, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Boston Bruins 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.

OTT winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Krejci–Cehlarik–PastrnakBergeron–Backes–MarchandMoore–Nash–SchallerStafford–Spooner–VatranoBergeron–Marchand–PastrnakStafford–Krejci–CehlarikBackes–Spooner–VatranoChara–CarloMcQuaid–KrugMiller–MillerMiller–KrugKrug–CarloChara–MillerMiller–Krug
Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau1:060.10–0.006:460.00–0.353:340.05–0.312:090.12–0.004:500.02–0.022:570.03–0.081:250.00–0.56
Burrows–Brassard–Stone4:530.02–0.170:500.00–0.030:390.12–0.001:250.28–0.001:240.01–0.121:050.00–0.005:020.03–0.201:400.25–0.012:200.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
Kelly–Stalberg–Wingels1:490.23–0.000:340.00–0.025:020.20–0.041:370.11–0.000:440.00–0.002:210.05–0.001:360.14–0.024:070.19–0.041:000.04–0.000:370.00–0.000:350.10–0.00
Turris–Smith–Dzingel2:000.00–0.094:300.07–0.120:450.02–0.001:110.01–0.001:400.02–0.003:130.00–0.222:560.14–0.000:550.00–0.00
Turris–Hoffman–Dzingel0:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Methot–Karlsson7:260.31–0.162:140.00–0.052:210.00–0.131:080.11–0.000:370.00–0.003:090.14–0.127:200.16–0.203:060.16–0.144:020.19–0.090:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:570.10–0.00
Phaneuf–Ceci1:250.04–0.006:470.02–0.140:530.06–0.002:110.02–0.080:330.00–0.002:100.06–0.025:170.02–0.144:280.06–0.08
Borowiecki–Wideman3:460.26–0.001:260.11–0.002:120.00–0.022:520.11–0.022:190.14–0.002:550.08–0.00
Borowiecki–Ceci0:500.00–0.320:320.00–0.002:490.17–0.131:140.03–0.231:350.00–0.002:250.17–0.110:580.03–0.001:280.00–0.56
Phaneuf–Wideman0:510.02–0.000:560.00–0.120:340.00–0.120:370.00–0.00
Methot–Ceci0:330.00–0.010:370.00–0.010:420.00–0.01
Phaneuf–Karlsson0:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FPageau FHoffman FBurrows FBrassard FStone FTurris FSmith FDzingel FKelly FWingels FStalberg FPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DWideman DBorowiecki DAnderson GBergeron FBackes FMarchand FCehlarik FPastrnak FKrejci FStafford FSpooner FVatrano FNash FMoore FSchaller FKrug DMcQuaid DCarlo DChara DMiller DMiller DRask G
OTTBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3223:560:451:3582
Cody CeciOTT3423:480:421:1836
Torey KrugBOS2822:470:491:2324
Marc MethotOTT2922:360:471:3061
Zdeno CharaBOS2421:200:532:5224
Brandon CarloBOS2520:420:502:5224
Dion PhaneufOTT2519:480:481:4946
Kevan MillerBOS2419:320:491:4224
Patrice BergeronBOS2218:340:511:3454
Mike HoffmanOTT2118:330:531:3531
Brad MarchandBOS2217:540:491:3454
David PastrnakBOS2017:480:533:0842
Colin MillerBOS2417:430:441:5412
Adam McQuaidBOS2517:280:421:2323
Mark StoneOTT2217:230:471:3563
David KrejciBOS1817:220:583:0121
Derick BrassardOTT2017:100:521:3542
Mark BorowieckiOTT2316:560:441:2642
Kyle TurrisOTT1816:160:541:1533
Peter CehlarikBOS1816:070:542:5322
David BackesBOS1915:290:491:0953
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2215:110:411:1845
Tom PyattOTT1915:020:471:1841
Drew StaffordBOS2014:490:441:0621
Frank VatranoBOS1914:280:461:0440
Alexandre BurrowsOTT1813:380:451:0931
Ryan SpoonerBOS1913:320:431:1430
Zack SmithOTT1813:220:451:2524
Tommy WingelsOTT1713:030:461:0620
Chris KellyOTT1812:570:431:1721
Chris WidemanOTT2112:560:371:0542
Viktor StalbergOTT1612:390:471:0920
Ryan DzingelOTT1612:180:461:0433
Dominic MooreBOS1811:000:371:0905
Riley NashBOS1710:350:371:0905
Tim SchallerBOS159:100:371:0003