Sat, Mar 11, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:09Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P1 0:18Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P1 1:51Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:59Brown: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Peca, Brown, Erne · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Petrovic, Matheson, Malgin
- P1 1:59Petrovic: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Peca, Brown, Erne · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Petrovic, Matheson, Malgin
- P1 2:33Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:43Shot by Dotchin, saved by Reimer
- P1 3:19Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:36Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:07Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:14Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 5:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
- P1 5:57Shot by Dotchin, saved by Reimer
- P1 7:27Demers: Holding (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Kucherov, Gourde, Drouin · FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Marchessault
- P1 8:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer5v4
- P1 8:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer5v4
- P1 11:34Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 13:24Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
- P1 13:32Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
- P1 14:22Palat: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · FLA Jagr, Smith, Petrovic, Matheson, Barkov
- P1 15:08Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 15:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 16:25Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 16:29Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 16:32Goal by Jagr (Barkov, Marchessault)+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Palat, Brown, Gourde, Sustr · FLA Jagr, Yandle, Huberdeau, Marchessault, Barkov
- P1 17:20Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
- P1 18:03Shot by Drouin, saved by Reimer
- P1 19:13Goal by Pysyk (Smith, Barkov)+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr, Point · FLA Jagr, Demers, Smith, Pysyk, Barkov
- P1 19:58Shot by Brown, saved by Reimer
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:28Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:24Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:36Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:49Shot by Dotchin, saved by Reimer
- P2 2:58Dumont: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Dotchin · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Yandle, Ekblad, Malgin
- P2 2:58Yandle: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Dotchin · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Yandle, Ekblad, Malgin
- P2 2:58Yandle: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Dotchin · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Yandle, Ekblad, Malgin
- P2 3:43Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Drouin)5v4+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · FLA Smith, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson
- P2 6:07Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer
- P2 6:17Petrovic: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Peca, Brown, Erne · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Demers, Petrovic, Malgin
- P2 6:17Petrovic: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Peca, Brown, Erne · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Demers, Petrovic, Malgin
- P2 6:17Petrovic: Game misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Peca, Brown, Erne · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Demers, Petrovic, Malgin
- P2 6:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer5v4
- P2 6:35Sceviour: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Pysyk, Matheson
- P2 6:35Palat: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Pysyk, Matheson
- P2 9:24Witkowski: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · FLA Jagr, Demers, Smith, Pysyk, Barkov
- P2 10:11Goal by Gourde, unassisted4v5+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Palat, Gourde · FLA Jokinen, Vanek, Yandle, Trocheck, Huberdeau
- P2 10:28Sustr: High sticking (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Point · FLA Jagr, Yandle, Smith, Marchessault, Barkov
- P2 10:30Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
- P2 13:21Shot by Dotchin, saved by Reimer
- P2 13:41Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer
- P2 15:12Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 16:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
- P2 16:10Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
- P2 17:51Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 19:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P2 19:06Dotchin: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Drouin · FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Marchessault
- P2 19:06Trocheck: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Drouin · FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Marchessault
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:42Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
- P3 0:53Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
- P3 1:08Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P3 2:51Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:06Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:27Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
- P3 4:41Shot by Coburn, saved by Reimer
- P3 5:29Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 5:39Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P3 5:51MacKenzie: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Drouin · FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson
- P3 5:57Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 6:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 8:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P3 11:57Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:39Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:51Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer
- P3 13:40Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
- P3 13:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
- P3 13:52Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P3 14:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
- P3 14:28Shot by Jagr, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 14:57Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 15:34Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:06Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:37Goal by Palat (Sustr)+44 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr, Point · FLA Bjugstad, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Marchessault, Matheson
- P3 18:01Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 19:31Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 19:34Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final