Sat, Mar 11, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
40%
11%
9%
39%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:05 | 0.12 | 36.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:43 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:58 | 0.26 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.10 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.29 | 62.1% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:44 | 0.12 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.13 | 53.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.38 | 50.9% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.20 | 62.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.11 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.08 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:15 | 0.18 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.06 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:38 | 0.03 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:32 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.13 | −0.9 | 58:02 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:17 | 0.06 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.30 | 50.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.14 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:39 | 0.36 | 57.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:30 | 0.09 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19:25 | 0.24 | 34.7% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.06 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.05 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.22 | 81.1% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.40 | 52.0% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.10 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.06 | 26.6% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.03 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.02 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.09 | +0.1 | 59:50 |