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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jagr–Smith–BarkovTrocheck–Huberdeau–MarchessaultVanek–Sceviour–BjugstadMacKenzie–Jokinen–MalginJokinen–Vanek–BjugstadMacKenzie–Jokinen–MarchessaultMacKenzie–Jokinen–VanekMacKenzie–Sceviour–TrocheckPysyk–MathesonYandle–DemersDemers–PysykYandle–EkbladPetrovic–MathesonDemers–MathesonDemers–Petrovic
Palat–Kucherov–Point7:440.26–0.420:470.09–0.031:460.04–0.000:550.00–0.004:360.13–0.112:180.04–0.191:240.00–0.131:410.13–0.040:540.09–0.000:310.00–0.00
Killorn–Gourde–Drouin0:390.00–0.007:040.31–0.190:520.08–0.000:490.01–0.003:020.27–0.001:310.06–0.121:400.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:550.12–0.000:350.00–0.00
Peca–Brown–Erne0:570.00–0.030:330.00–0.002:180.06–0.080:570.03–0.000:460.00–0.001:410.00–0.062:270.03–0.001:520.06–0.001:100.00–0.05
Hedman–Dotchin6:150.22–0.381:450.03–0.001:440.03–0.001:000.02–0.004:260.11–0.202:140.06–0.172:310.02–0.092:150.13–0.040:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Coburn–Sustr1:460.00–0.072:210.05–0.020:380.00–0.001:550.04–0.060:540.00–0.012:550.05–0.032:360.00–0.031:470.04–0.061:040.00–0.03
Stralman–Garrison0:470.01–0.004:150.33–0.200:490.08–0.000:380.00–0.000:510.01–0.002:130.23–0.002:120.03–0.121:000.00–0.001:250.22–0.020:390.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman0:340.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalat FPoint FKucherov FKillorn FDrouin FGourde FPeca FBrown FErne FMcKegg FDumont FDotchin DHedman DGarrison DStralman DWitkowski DCoburn DSustr DVasilevskiy GBarkov FSmith FJagr FHuberdeau FTrocheck FMarchessault FMacKenzie FJokinen FMalgin FSceviour FVanek FBjugstad FYandle DEkblad DPysyk DDemers DPetrovic DMatheson DReimer G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark PysykFLA3026:050:521:2446
Jason DemersFLA3625:430:431:5536
Mike MathesonFLA2924:580:521:4454
Anton StralmanTBL2724:170:541:31111
Victor HedmanTBL2723:310:521:2484
Keith YandleFLA3123:240:451:2335
Brayden PointTBL2822:110:481:4775
Nikita KucherovTBL2621:390:502:1663
Aleksander BarkovFLA2721:010:471:3854
Vincent TrocheckFLA2720:440:461:1864
Jake DotchinTBL2419:300:491:3164
Ondrej PalatTBL2819:250:421:2084
Alex KillornTBL2518:520:451:3058
Jason GarrisonTBL2318:440:491:3209
Reilly SmithFLA2518:310:441:5723
Jonathan DrouinTBL2118:300:531:3765
Jonathan MarchessaultFLA2217:270:481:3852
Yanni GourdeTBL2317:090:451:2037
Jaromir JagrFLA2217:080:471:3833
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2017:040:511:1961
Jussi JokinenFLA2315:530:411:0958
Braydon CoburnTBL2015:470:471:3412
Andrej SustrTBL2013:580:421:1413
Derek MacKenzieFLA2013:060:391:0809
Adam ErneTBL1513:010:521:2222
Colton SceviourFLA1612:150:461:0534
Thomas VanekFLA1611:540:451:3361
Matthew PecaTBL1210:390:531:2031
Nick BjugstadFLA1510:160:411:0462
JT BrownTBL1310:150:471:1121
Gabriel DumontTBL129:240:471:1533
Luke WitkowskiTBL127:400:380:5822
Greg McKeggTBL117:380:420:5822
Aaron EkbladFLA107:340:451:0640
Alexander PetrovicFLA85:380:421:1800
Denis MalginFLA74:320:391:0801