Thu, Apr 6, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
39%
11%
9%
41%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 28:32 | 0.10 | 61.0% | +56.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:06 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.13 | 56.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:41 | 0.04 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.01 | 56.3% | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:49 | 0.57 | 55.3% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.16 | 50.9% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.18 | 51.1% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.04 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.21 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.06 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.07 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.05 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:41 | 0.34 | 57.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.21 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:53 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.26 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.04 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.11 | 38.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.12 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.11 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.55 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.03 | 55.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.10 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.02 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:45 | 0.54 | 35.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.28 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.06 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.05 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:25 | 0.13 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.32 | −1.7 | 59:45 |