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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 6, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77033+2228:320.1061.0%+56.6
Anton StralmanD · #60000223:060.0647.0%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #18022+1221:430.1356.6%+20.0
Braydon CoburnD · #550000421:410.0429.9%0.0
Jake DotchinD · #590110020:430.0156.3%+2.1
Brayden PointC · #21202+1419:490.5755.3%+20.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #861010218:570.1650.9%+19.9
Andrej SustrD · #62011+2318:200.1851.1%+18.7
Alex KillornLW · #170000116:090.0444.5%0.0
Jonathan DrouinLW · #270000315:480.2161.3%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #900000115:090.1043.0%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #650000013:510.0651.2%0.0
Gabriel DumontC · #61000+1012:210.0756.1%0.0
Adam ErneLW · #730000111:540.0552.9%0.0
Michael BournivalLW · #15101+1310:410.3457.9%+18.7
Greg McKeggC · #33000+109:160.0067.2%0.0
Cory ConacherC · #19000029:070.2150.9%0.0
Luke WitkowskiD · #28000004:530.0047.3%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W27261.9632.26+1.360:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #510000123:290.0455.7%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000−1122:200.0345.3%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1221:550.0635.9%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #420110119:190.1138.1%+19.1
William NylanderRW · #290000018:300.1260.4%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−2217:550.1135.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340000317:430.5561.1%0.0
Matt HunwickD · #2011−1117:410.0355.1%+19.1
James van RiemsdykLW · #25000−2117:380.0234.3%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470000117:040.1042.8%0.0
Roman PolakD · #46000−1116:560.0248.7%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #431010616:450.5435.7%+19.1
Connor BrownRW · #12000−1114:580.0231.3%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000214:340.2860.2%0.0
Connor CarrickD · #80000112:210.0625.0%0.0
Brian BoyleC · #24000019:570.0555.0%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #28000029:250.1351.4%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15000006:480.0020.7%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L30264.8672.32−1.759:45