Tue, Nov 28, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
14%
9%
71%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 57.2% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:41 | 0.07 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.06 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.11 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:05 | 0.36 | 64.3% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.03 | 54.3% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.16 | 61.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.05 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.85 | 38.7% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.10 | 48.9% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.04 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:34 | 0.32 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.01 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.38 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.04 | 58.7% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.03 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.27 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.44 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 25:52 | 0.05 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.09 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.04 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.07 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.12 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.21 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.21 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.11 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.14 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.03 | 35.5% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.18 | 40.8% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.09 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.07 | 35.5% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:52 | 0.01 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 57:34 |