Tue, Dec 12, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
26%
12%
9%
53%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29:00 | 0.03 | 57.1% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:40 | 0.33 | 58.1% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.24 | 67.3% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.11 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:45 | 0.42 | 60.7% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.22 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.08 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.10 | 55.2% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.05 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.21 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.06 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.05 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.11 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 53.9% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.00 | 18.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.42 | −1.6 | 57:59 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 32.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.05 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.05 | 35.6% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.03 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.18 | 45.9% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 49.1% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.09 | 36.3% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 61.7% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.32 | 52.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.01 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.27 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.11 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.10 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.03 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.08 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.01 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.05 | +0.1 | 59:44 |