Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 23, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marleau–Komarov–KadriHyman–Nylander–Matthewsvan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerMoore–Martin–BrownHainsey–RiellyPolak–GardinerPolak–BorgmanGardiner–CarrickHainsey–GardinerGardiner–BorgmanRielly–Carrick
Nash–Desharnais–Zuccarello1:140.04–0.000:550.00–0.092:350.00–0.123:170.00–0.000:570.04–0.001:010.00–0.21
Grabner–Zuccarello–Hayes1:170.10–0.071:490.20–0.000:500.02–0.171:320.00–0.001:450.00–0.092:080.12–0.171:560.20–0.00
Nash–Desharnais–Vesey1:340.08–0.031:080.24–0.001:080.00–0.132:580.32–0.031:090.00–0.080:430.00–0.05
Kreider–Zibanejad–Miller1:220.00–0.250:360.00–0.001:260.10–0.000:380.03–0.003:150.13–0.250:460.00–0.00
Grabner–Hayes–Vesey0:470.00–0.001:460.07–0.290:300.00–0.000:440.01–0.001:280.00–0.001:000.06–0.29
Kreider–Miller–Buchnevich0:360.05–0.071:230.00–0.001:170.16–0.001:230.05–0.211:430.05–0.00
Carey–Miller–Nieves1:110.06–0.020:490.00–0.392:050.05–0.41
Kreider–Zibanejad–Buchnevich1:050.02–0.000:340.00–0.220:350.00–0.22
Zuccarello–Hayes–Zibanejad1:030.00–0.111:030.00–0.11
McDonagh–Holden2:280.12–0.034:210.25–0.291:130.00–0.053:170.08–0.001:240.10–0.001:220.00–0.052:410.19–0.32
Shattenkirk–Skjei3:360.14–0.160:360.16–0.001:530.23–0.171:270.10–0.003:320.37–0.132:210.08–0.171:280.01–0.02
Staal–Smith2:230.05–0.002:440.00–0.002:060.01–0.391:590.00–0.002:520.06–0.391:400.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–McDonagh0:410.00–0.011:030.00–0.110:560.00–0.010:480.00–0.000:300.00–0.041:030.00–0.11
Smith–Skjei0:470.05–0.200:540.00–0.000:330.00–0.121:450.05–0.210:570.00–0.00
Smith–McDonagh0:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:310.00–0.080:540.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:430.00–0.080:400.00–0.00
Holden–Skjei0:390.00–0.140:380.00–0.14
Shattenkirk–Holden0:340.00–0.160:580.00–0.16
Staal–Shattenkirk0:450.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndZuccarello FDesharnais FNash FHayes FVesey FGrabner FBuchnevich FKreider FZibanejad FMiller FNieves FCarey FStaal DSmith DMcDonagh DHolden DShattenkirk DSkjei DLundqvist GMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FNylander FMatthews FHyman FKadri FMarleau FKomarov FMartin FMoore FBrown FCarrick DGardiner DHainsey DRielly DPolak DBorgman DAndersen G
NYRTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3126:570:522:2983
Jake GardinerTOR3726:040:421:5184
Ryan McDonaghNYR3125:360:502:2176
Ron HainseyTOR2923:200:481:3853
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2822:140:483:0134
Patrick MarleauTOR2721:150:473:1543
Kevin HayesNYR2521:070:512:2129
Brady SkjeiNYR2921:050:441:4353
Kevin ShattenkirkNYR2320:560:553:4341
Nazem KadriTOR2619:290:451:4443
Auston MatthewsTOR2518:420:451:4367
Leo KomarovTOR2618:110:421:0955
Roman PolakTOR2517:180:421:2624
Nick HoldenNYR2517:140:411:2737
William NylanderTOR2417:030:431:2587
Chris KreiderNYR2416:340:411:2154
Marc StaalNYR2316:240:432:2116
Rick NashNYR2716:080:361:1753
Brendan SmithNYR2616:080:371:1354
Michael GrabnerNYR2415:270:391:1528
J.T. MillerNYR2415:070:381:1383
Zach HymanTOR2414:530:371:1548
David DesharnaisNYR2414:380:371:0852
Mitch MarnerTOR2314:180:371:0560
Tyler BozakTOR2213:570:381:2670
James van RiemsdykTOR2213:360:371:4470
Jimmy VeseyNYR2212:430:351:0555
Mika ZibanejadNYR1512:410:513:0123
Pavel BuchnevichNYR1811:410:391:3042
Connor BrownTOR1810:140:341:0111
Andreas BorgmanTOR139:590:461:4911
Connor CarrickTOR199:360:301:15110
Dominic MooreTOR128:140:411:1910
Matt MartinTOR116:540:381:1110
Paul CareyNYR105:400:341:0210
Boo NievesNYR84:380:350:5610