Fri, Dec 29, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 57% of the time.
44%
12%
9%
35%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:48 | 0.01 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.03 | 18.9% | +39.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.04 | 65.7% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.03 | 67.7% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.36 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.16 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.08 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:22 | 0.43 | 41.5% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.03 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.06 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.07 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:35 | 0.14 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:13 | 0.33 | 32.2% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 67.3% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.02 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.06 | 84.5% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.03 | 86.4% | +20.7 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.12 | −1.9 | 62:35 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 29:40 | 0.20 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.16 | 69.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.10 | 67.8% | +49.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 22:17 | 0.33 | 72.0% | +69.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 22:00 | 0.55 | 70.2% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.05 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.02 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 40.1% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.10 | 36.4% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.05 | 54.1% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.27 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.04 | 67.0% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.15 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.02 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.08 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 1.88 | −1.1 | 63:25 |