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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 9, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:03Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:18Callahan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Brown, Paquette · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Pesce, Jooris, Hanifin

  4. P1 3:23Goal by McGinn (Williams, Slavin)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Hedman, Gourde, Point · CAR Williams, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan

  5. P1 4:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 5:22Shot by Gourde, saved by Ward
  7. P1 5:44Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ward
  8. P1 7:57Shot by Paquette, saved by Ward
  9. P1 8:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward
  10. P1 9:02Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  11. P1 9:33Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:43Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:02Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Stamkos)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Dotchin · CAR Faulk, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Lindholm, Ryan

  14. P1 11:11Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 12:10Goal by Aho, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Palat, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · CAR Williams, Dahlbeck, Rask, Hanifin, Aho

  16. P1 13:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  17. P1 13:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ward
  18. P1 15:03Shot by Gourde, saved by Ward
  19. P1 15:58Shot by Point, saved by Ward
  20. P1 16:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  21. P1 16:26Goal by Johnson (Stralman, Point)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Point, Sergachev · CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  22. P1 16:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Paquette, saved by Ward
  24. P1 19:16Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:17Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 1:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  29. P2 1:58Goal by Johnson (Dotchin, Point)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Dotchin, Point · CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  30. P2 3:13Shot by Gourde, saved by Ward
  31. P2 3:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward
  32. P2 4:03Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 4:50Namestnikov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sustr, Sergachev · CAR Williams, Faulk, Dahlbeck, Rask, McGinn

  34. P2 5:22Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 5:32Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 7:00Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 7:29Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 7:49Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 9:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  40. P2 9:55Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:05Coburn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Brown, Paquette, Sustr · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Pesce, Jooris, Hanifin

  42. P2 10:36Goal by Faulk (Teravainen, Staal)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Point · CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho

  43. P2 11:00Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  44. P2 11:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 12:56Shot by Dahlbeck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 14:09Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  47. P2 14:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  48. P2 14:50Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 17:14Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  50. P2 17:31Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 17:54Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  52. P2 18:18Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 18:24Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 19:15Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  58. P3 2:27Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 2:34Shot by Dahlbeck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 4:56Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:21Shot by Kunitz, saved by Ward
  62. P3 5:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  63. P3 6:49Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  65. P3 7:56Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 9:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 9:27Goal by Dotchin (Point, Palat)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Dotchin, Point · CAR Skinner, Slavin, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Ryan

  68. P3 10:25Shot by Jooris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 11:55Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward
  70. P3 14:54Goal by Johnson (Hedman)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Dotchin · CAR Faulk, Teravainen, Hanifin, Aho, Ryan

  71. P3 14:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  72. P3 15:51Stamkos: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sergachev · CAR Faulk, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Lindholm, Ryan

  73. P3 17:29Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v6
  74. P3 18:42Goal by Lindholm (Faulk, Teravainen)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · CAR Faulk, Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Lindholm, Aho

  75. P3 19:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final5v6